Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya 464-8601, Japan.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2011 Aug 23;108(34):14011-4. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1106242108. Epub 2011 Aug 1.
We describe volumetric changes in three benchmark glaciers in the Nepal Himalayas on which observations have been made since the 1970s. Compared with the global mean of glacier mass balance, the Himalayan glaciers showed rapid wastage in the 1970s-1990s, but similar wastage in the last decade. In the last decade, a glacier in an arid climate showed negative but suppressed mass balance compared with the period 1970s-1990s, whereas two glaciers in a humid climate showed accelerated wastage. A mass balance model with downscaled gridded datasets depicts the fate of the observed glaciers. We also show a spatially heterogeneous distribution of glacier wastage in the Asian highlands, even under the present-day climate warming.
我们描述了自 20 世纪 70 年代以来一直在观测的尼泊尔喜马拉雅山脉的三个基准冰川的体积变化。与全球冰川质量平衡的平均值相比,喜马拉雅冰川在 20 世纪 70 年代至 90 年代期间迅速减少,但在过去十年中减少速度相似。在过去十年中,与 20 世纪 70 年代至 90 年代相比,气候干旱的冰川的质量平衡呈现负值,但受到抑制,而气候湿润的两个冰川的质量损失加速。一个使用降尺度网格化数据集的质量平衡模型描绘了观测到的冰川的命运。我们还展示了即使在当前气候变暖的情况下,亚洲高地冰川消融的空间异质性分布。