National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Mailstop F-62, 4770 Buford Highway, Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA.
Prev Sci. 2018 Aug;19(6):705-715. doi: 10.1007/s11121-017-0819-8.
We assessed the US state-level budget and societal impact of implementing two child abuse and neglect (CAN) primary prevention programs. CAN cost estimates and data from two prevention programs (Child-Parent Centers and Nurse-Family Partnership) were combined with current population, cost, and CAN incidence data by US state. A cost-benefit mathematical model for each program by US state compared program costs with the future monetary value of benefits from reduced CAN. The models used a lifetime time horizon from government payer and societal perspectives. Both programs could potentially avert CAN among tens of thousands of children across the country. Lower costs from reduced CAN may substantially offset, but not always entirely eliminate, payers' program implementation cost. Results are sensitive to the rate of CAN in each US state. Given the considerable lifetime societal cost of CAN, including victims' lost work productivity, the programs were cost saving from the societal perspective in all US states using base case methods. This analysis represents an overall minimum return on payers' investment because averted CAN is just one of many positive health and educational outcomes associated with these programs and non-monetary benefits from reduced CAN were not included. Translating cost and effectiveness research on injury prevention programs for local conditions might increase decision makers' adoption of effective programs.
我们评估了实施两项儿童虐待和忽视(CAN)初级预防计划对美国州级预算和社会的影响。将两项预防计划(儿童-家长中心和护士家庭伙伴关系)的 CAN 成本估算和数据与美国各州的当前人口、成本和 CAN 发病率数据相结合。每个州的每个计划的成本效益数学模型都将计划成本与减少 CAN 的未来货币价值收益进行了比较。该模型从政府支付者和社会角度使用了终生时间范围。这两个项目都有可能避免全美成千上万的儿童遭受虐待和忽视。减少 CAN 带来的成本降低可能会大大抵消,但并非总是完全消除支付者的项目实施成本。结果对每个美国州的 CAN 发生率敏感。鉴于 CAN 包括受害者失去的工作生产力在内的巨大终生社会成本,使用基本案例方法,从社会角度来看,这些项目在所有美国州都具有成本效益。由于预防 CAN 只是与这些计划相关的许多积极健康和教育成果之一,并且未包括因减少 CAN 带来的非货币收益,因此这一分析代表了支付者投资的总体最低回报。将伤害预防计划的成本和效果研究转化为当地情况,可能会增加决策者对有效计划的采用。