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PSI 和 CURB-65 评分系统在预测医疗相关性肺炎 30 天死亡率中的表现。

Performance of the PSI and CURB-65 scoring systems in predicting 30-day mortality in healthcare-associated pneumonia.

机构信息

Departamento de Epidemiología, Unidad de Medicina Familiar n.(o) 19, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, Colima, Méjico.

Coordinación de Planeación y Enlace Institucional, Jefatura de Servicios de Prestaciones Médicas, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Colima, Colima, Méjico.

出版信息

Med Clin (Barc). 2018 Feb 9;150(3):99-103. doi: 10.1016/j.medcli.2017.06.044. Epub 2017 Aug 1.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP) is the leading cause of infection in a hospital setting and is associated with a high mortality rate. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the pneumonia severity index (PSI) and confusion, urea, respiratory rate, blood pressure, age≥65 (CURB-65) systems in predicting 30-day mortality in HCAP in adult patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A cross-sectional study took place and data from 109 non-immunocompromised individuals aged>18 years were analyzed. The clinical diagnosis of HCAP included the presence of radiographic infiltrates in patients≥48hours after hospital admission. The PSI and CURB-65 scores were calculated and performance measures were estimated. Summary statistics were used to describe the study sample. The PSI and CURB-65 scores were calculated based on 20 and 5 criteria, respectively, and the performance indicators of the screening tools were estimated.

RESULTS

The overall 30-day mortality was 59.6%. At every given threshold, PSI sensitivity was higher, but showed a lower specificity than the CURB-65, and the highest Youden index (0.392) was observed at cut-off V in the PSI. The area under the ROC curve was 0.737 (95% CI: 0.646-0.827) and 0.698 (95% CI: 0.600-0.797) using the PSI and CURB-65 systems, respectively (P=.323).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that the performance of the PSI and CURB-65 is reasonable for predicting 30-day mortality in adult HCAP patients and may be used in healthcare settings.

摘要

简介

医院获得性肺炎(HCAP)是医院环境中感染的主要原因,与高死亡率相关。本研究旨在评估肺炎严重指数(PSI)和意识模糊、尿素、呼吸频率、血压、年龄≥65 岁(CURB-65)系统在预测成人 HCAP 患者 30 天死亡率方面的性能。

患者和方法

进行了一项横断面研究,分析了 109 名年龄>18 岁且无免疫功能低下的个体的数据。HCAP 的临床诊断包括患者在入院后≥48 小时出现放射性浸润。计算了 PSI 和 CURB-65 评分,并估计了性能指标。使用汇总统计描述研究样本。PSI 和 CURB-65 评分分别基于 20 和 5 个标准进行计算,并估计了筛选工具的性能指标。

结果

总体 30 天死亡率为 59.6%。在每个给定的阈值下,PSI 的敏感性更高,但特异性低于 CURB-65,PSI 中的 V 切点观察到最高的约登指数(0.392)。PSI 和 CURB-65 系统的 ROC 曲线下面积分别为 0.737(95%CI:0.646-0.827)和 0.698(95%CI:0.600-0.797)(P=.323)。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,PSI 和 CURB-65 的性能可合理预测成人 HCAP 患者的 30 天死亡率,可在医疗保健环境中使用。

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