CSIC, Global Ecology Unit, CREAF-CSIC-UAB, Cerdanyola del Vallès, 08193, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
CREAF, Cerdanyola del Vallès, 08193, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Sci Rep. 2017 Aug 29;7(1):9632. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-08755-8.
Concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO) have continued to increase whereas atmospheric deposition of sulphur and nitrogen has declined in Europe and the USA during recent decades. Using time series of flux observations from 23 forests distributed throughout Europe and the USA, and generalised mixed models, we found that forest-level net ecosystem production and gross primary production have increased by 1% annually from 1995 to 2011. Statistical models indicated that increasing atmospheric CO was the most important factor driving the increasing strength of carbon sinks in these forests. We also found that the reduction of sulphur deposition in Europe and the USA lead to higher recovery in ecosystem respiration than in gross primary production, thus limiting the increase of carbon sequestration. By contrast, trends in climate and nitrogen deposition did not significantly contribute to changing carbon fluxes during the studied period. Our findings support the hypothesis of a general CO-fertilization effect on vegetation growth and suggest that, so far unknown, sulphur deposition plays a significant role in the carbon balance of forests in industrialized regions. Our results show the need to include the effects of changing atmospheric composition, beyond CO, to assess future dynamics of carbon-climate feedbacks not currently considered in earth system/climate modelling.
在过去几十年中,欧洲和美国大气中的二氧化碳(CO)浓度持续上升,而硫和氮的大气沉降量却有所下降。利用分布在欧洲和美国的 23 个森林的通量观测时间序列和广义混合模型,我们发现,1995 年至 2011 年,森林生态系统净生产力和总初级生产力每年增加 1%。统计模型表明,大气中 CO 的增加是这些森林碳汇强度增加的最重要因素。我们还发现,欧洲和美国硫沉降的减少导致生态系统呼吸的恢复高于总初级生产力,从而限制了碳固存的增加。相比之下,在研究期间,气候和氮沉降的趋势并没有显著促进碳通量的变化。我们的研究结果支持大气 CO 对植被生长具有普遍施肥效应的假设,并表明,目前尚不清楚的硫沉降在工业化地区森林的碳平衡中发挥了重要作用。我们的研究结果表明,需要考虑大气成分变化的影响,而不仅仅是 CO,以评估目前在地球系统/气候模型中未考虑的碳-气候反馈的未来动态。