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评估热应激假说:时间和社会因素在预测与棒球相关的攻击行为中的作用。

Evaluating the heat-aggression hypothesis: The role of temporal and social factors in predicting baseball related aggression.

机构信息

DePaul University, Chicago, Illinois.

University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware.

出版信息

Aggress Behav. 2018 Jan;44(1):83-88. doi: 10.1002/ab.21726. Epub 2017 Sep 4.

DOI:10.1002/ab.21726
PMID:28868659
Abstract

We examined the role that season progression and social threats play in the heat-aggression hypothesis within Major League Baseball put forward by Reifman, Larrick, and Fein (1991). Box score data from 38,870 Major League Baseball games between the years of 2000 and 2015 was used to test the heat-aggression relationship, while accounting for temporal and social factors that may be simultaneously exerting influence on player behavior. Controlling for a number of other variables, we observed that the effect of temperature on aggressive behavior is partially contingent on the point of the season in which the game took place. Aggressive behavior was also more likely to occur when teams played divisional (compared to league and inter-league) rivals, however this relationship was contingent on season progression. We provide potential boundary conditions relating to the heat-aggression relationship, indicating this may not be a ubiquitous phenomenon.

摘要

我们考察了季节变化和社会威胁在雷夫曼、拉里克和费恩(1991)提出的职业棒球大联盟中“热应激假说”中的作用。我们使用了 2000 年至 2015 年的 38870 场职业棒球大联盟比赛的记分板数据来检验热应激关系,同时考虑了可能同时对球员行为施加影响的时间和社会因素。在控制了许多其他变量后,我们发现温度对攻击性行为的影响部分取决于比赛进行的赛季阶段。当球队对阵分区对手(而非联盟内或跨联盟对手)时,攻击性行为更有可能发生,但这种关系取决于赛季进展。我们提供了与热应激关系相关的潜在边界条件,表明这可能不是一种普遍现象。

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