Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708, USA.
Psychol Sci. 2011 Apr;22(4):423-8. doi: 10.1177/0956797611399292. Epub 2011 Feb 24.
In this study, we analyzed data from 57,293 Major League Baseball games to test whether high temperatures interact with provocation to increase the likelihood that batters will be hit by a pitch. Controlling for a number of other variables, we conducted analyses showing that the probability of a pitcher hitting a batter increases sharply at high temperatures when more of the pitcher's teammates have been hit by the opposing team earlier in the game. We suggest that high temperatures increase retaliation by increasing hostile attributions when teammates are hit by a pitch and by lowering inhibitions against retaliation.
在这项研究中，我们分析了 57293 场美国职业棒球大联盟比赛的数据，以检验高温是否会与挑衅相互作用，从而增加击球手被球击中的可能性。在控制了许多其他变量后，我们进行的分析表明，当投手的更多队友在比赛早期被对方球队击中时，高温会使投手击中击球手的概率急剧上升。我们认为，高温会通过增加队友被球击中时的敌对归因，以及降低对报复的抑制，从而增加报复行为。
