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不考虑个体间的变异性可能会掩盖栖息地选择模式:黑熊的一个案例研究。

Not accounting for interindividual variability can mask habitat selection patterns: a case study on black bears.

作者信息

Lesmerises Rémi, St-Laurent Martin-Hugues

机构信息

Département de Biologie, Chimie et Géographie, Université du Québec à Rimouski, Centre for Northern Studies, 300 Allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC, G5L 3A1, Canada.

Département de Biologie, Chimie et Géographie, Université du Québec à Rimouski, Centre for Northern Studies, Centre for Forest Research, 300 Allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC, G5L 3A1, Canada.

出版信息

Oecologia. 2017 Nov;185(3):415-425. doi: 10.1007/s00442-017-3939-8. Epub 2017 Sep 9.

Abstract

Habitat selection studies conducted at the population scale commonly aim to describe general patterns that could improve our understanding of the limiting factors in species-habitat relationships. Researchers often consider interindividual variation in selection patterns to control for its effects and avoid pseudoreplication by using mixed-effect models that include individuals as random factors. Here, we highlight common pitfalls and possible misinterpretations of this strategy by describing habitat selection of 21 black bears Ursus americanus. We used Bayesian mixed-effect models and compared results obtained when using random intercept (i.e., population level) versus calculating individual coefficients for each independent variable (i.e., individual level). We then related interindividual variability to individual characteristics (i.e., age, sex, reproductive status, body condition) in a multivariate analysis. The assumption of comparable behavior among individuals was verified only in 40% of the cases in our seasonal best models. Indeed, we found strong and opposite responses among sampled bears and individual coefficients were linked to individual characteristics. For some covariates, contrasted responses canceled each other out at the population level. In other cases, interindividual variability was concealed by the composition of our sample, with the majority of the bears (e.g., old individuals and bears in good physical condition) driving the population response (e.g., selection of young forest cuts). Our results stress the need to consider interindividual variability to avoid misinterpretation and uninformative results, especially for a flexible and opportunistic species. This study helps to identify some ecological drivers of interindividual variability in bear habitat selection patterns.

摘要

在种群尺度上进行的栖息地选择研究通常旨在描述一般模式,以增进我们对物种 - 栖息地关系中限制因素的理解。研究人员经常考虑选择模式中的个体间差异,通过使用将个体作为随机因素的混合效应模型来控制其影响并避免伪重复。在此,我们通过描述21只美洲黑熊( Ursus americanus )的栖息地选择,强调了该策略常见的陷阱和可能的误解。我们使用贝叶斯混合效应模型,并比较了使用随机截距(即种群水平)与计算每个自变量的个体系数(即个体水平)时获得的结果。然后,我们在多变量分析中将个体间变异性与个体特征(即年龄、性别、繁殖状态、身体状况)相关联。在我们的季节性最佳模型中,只有40%的情况验证了个体间行为具有可比性这一假设。事实上,我们在抽样的熊中发现了强烈且相反的反应,个体系数与个体特征相关联。对于一些协变量,在种群水平上相反的反应相互抵消。在其他情况下,个体间变异性被我们样本的组成所掩盖,大多数熊(例如老年个体和身体状况良好的熊)驱动了种群反应(例如对幼龄砍伐森林的选择)。我们的结果强调了考虑个体间变异性以避免误解和无信息结果的必要性,特别是对于一个灵活且机会主义的物种。这项研究有助于确定熊栖息地选择模式中个体间变异性的一些生态驱动因素。

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