a First Division of Infectious Diseases , Cotugno Hospital, Azienda Ospedaliera dei Colli , Napoli , Italy.
b Unit of Emergency Medicine , Nuovo Santa Chiara University Hospital, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Pisana , Pisa , Italy.
Infect Dis (Lond). 2018 Mar;50(3):214-219. doi: 10.1080/23744235.2017.1384956. Epub 2017 Oct 9.
Evaluation of the role on patient mortality exerted by biofilm forming (BF) Candida strains, by using predictive clinical data.
Eighty-nine strains isolated from Candida bloodstream infection, occurring in two Italian University Hospitals, were employed in this study. A random forest (RF) model was built with a procedure of iterative selection of the risk factors potentially able to predict the probability of death. The similarity between patient conditions and Bayesian clustering was calculated in order to evaluate the role of predictors in the stratification of the death risk.
Three different groups of patients with different probability of death were obtained with a RF approach: Group 1 (mortality in 33.3% of cases), Group 2 (death in 50% of cases), and Group 3 (mortality in 76.9% of cases). The comparison between these three groups showed that BF correlated well with increased mortality in patients, admitted for medical diagnosis, with high APACHE II score and treated with azoles. Early treatment within 24 h between candidemia diagnosis and the beginning of antifungal therapy was associated with the lowest of BF rate and mortality.
BF by Candida spp. seems to be clinically associated with increased mortality especially in medical patients with higher Apache II score or treated with azoles.
利用预测性临床数据评估生物膜形成(BF)念珠菌菌株对患者死亡率的作用。
本研究使用了从意大利两家大学医院发生的念珠菌血流感染中分离出的 89 株菌株。采用迭代选择潜在能够预测死亡概率的风险因素的程序构建随机森林(RF)模型。计算患者病情与贝叶斯聚类之间的相似性,以评估预测因子在分层死亡风险中的作用。
采用 RF 方法获得了具有不同死亡概率的三组不同患者:第 1 组(33.3%的病例死亡)、第 2 组(50%的病例死亡)和第 3 组(76.9%的病例死亡)。这三组之间的比较表明,BF 与因医学诊断入院、APACHE II 评分较高且接受唑类药物治疗的患者死亡率升高密切相关。在念珠菌血症诊断和开始抗真菌治疗之间的 24 小时内进行早期治疗与 BF 率和死亡率最低有关。
念珠菌属的 BF 似乎与死亡率升高密切相关,特别是在 Apache II 评分较高或接受唑类药物治疗的医学患者中。