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弗雷明汉风险评分低估了HER2阳性乳腺癌人群发生心血管事件的风险。

The Framingham risk score underestimates the risk of cardiovascular events in the HER2-positive breast cancer population.

作者信息

Law W, Johnson C, Rushton M, Dent S

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine.

Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, and.

出版信息

Curr Oncol. 2017 Oct;24(5):e348-e353. doi: 10.3747/co.24.3684. Epub 2017 Oct 25.

DOI:10.3747/co.24.3684
PMID:29089804
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5659158/
Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Patients with breast cancer (bca) who overexpress her2 (the human epidermal growth factor receptor 2) are at risk for cardiotoxicity when treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy and her2-targeted agents. The Framingham risk score (frs) is a validated tool that stratifies patients into high-, intermediate-, or low-risk groups and calculates their 10-year risk of developing cardiovascular disease (cvd) based on past medical history, systolic blood pressure, and measurement of serum lipids. We retrospectively analyzed patients with her2-positive bca to determine whether the frs predicts adverse cardiovascular (CV) events or cardiotoxicity in patients treated using anthracyclines or her2-targeted therapy, or both.

METHODS

The frs was determined for patients with bca referred to The Ottawa Hospital Cardiology-Oncology Clinic from October 2008 to August 2014. The patients were stratified into high (≥20%), intermediate (10%-20%), and low (<10%) 10-year cv risk groups. Primary outcomes included cvd-related hospitalizations and deaths, and cardiotoxicity [drop in left ventricular ejection fraction (lvef) of >10% to a lvef ≤50%].

RESULTS

Of the 152 patients included in the analysis (median follow-up: 40.7 months; range: 3.5-263 months), 47 (31%) were classified as high risk; 36 (24%), as intermediate risk; and 69 (45%), as low-risk. The number of cvd-related hospitalizations and deaths was 22, for an overall prevalence of 14%, with significantly more events occurring in high-risk than in low-risk patients (odds ratio: 4.18; 95% confidence limits: 1.47, 11.89). The frs predicted a 10-year risk of any cv event of 11.2% and underestimated the actual rate of cv events in the entire cohort. High frs was not associated with cardiotoxicity ( = 0.82).

CONCLUSIONS

In a population of patients with her2-positive bca referred to a cardiology-oncology clinic, the frs does not accurately predict the risk of cv events or cardiotoxicity.

摘要

引言

人表皮生长因子受体2(HER2)过表达的乳腺癌患者在接受蒽环类化疗和HER2靶向药物治疗时存在心脏毒性风险。弗雷明汉风险评分(FRS)是一种经过验证的工具,可将患者分为高、中、低风险组,并根据既往病史、收缩压和血脂测量结果计算其患心血管疾病(CVD)的10年风险。我们回顾性分析了HER2阳性乳腺癌患者,以确定FRS是否能预测接受蒽环类药物或HER2靶向治疗或两者联合治疗的患者发生不良心血管(CV)事件或心脏毒性的情况。

方法

确定2008年10月至2014年8月转诊至渥太华医院心脏肿瘤诊所的乳腺癌患者的FRS。患者被分为10年CV高风险(≥20%)、中风险(10%-20%)和低风险(<10%)组。主要结局包括与CVD相关的住院和死亡,以及心脏毒性[左心室射血分数(LVEF)下降>10%至LVEF≤50%]。

结果

纳入分析的152例患者(中位随访时间:40.7个月;范围:3.5-263个月)中,47例(31%)被归类为高风险;36例(24%)为中风险;69例(45%)为低风险。与CVD相关的住院和死亡人数为22例,总体患病率为14%,高风险患者发生的事件明显多于低风险患者(比值比:4.18;95%置信区间:1.47,11.89)。FRS预测任何CV事件的10年风险为11.2%,并低估了整个队列中CV事件的实际发生率。高FRS与心脏毒性无关(P=0.82)。

结论

在转诊至心脏肿瘤诊所的HER2阳性乳腺癌患者群体中,FRS不能准确预测CV事件或心脏毒性的风险。