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社会变革与男性和女性对性别平等主义支持度上升之间的关系:1979 - 2012年荷兰反事实分析的结果

The relationship between societal change and rising support for gender egalitarianism among men and women: Results from counterfactual analyses in the Netherlands, 1979-2012.

作者信息

Thijs Paula, Te Grotenhuis Manfred, Scheepers Peer

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Radboud University, P.O Box 9104, 6500 HE Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

Department of Sociology, Radboud University, P.O Box 9104, 6500 HE Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Soc Sci Res. 2017 Nov;68:176-194. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2017.05.004. Epub 2017 May 30.

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between important social, cultural, economic, and demographic changes and the rise of support for gender egalitarianism within the Dutch population between 1979 and 2012. Cohort replacement, educational expansion, secularization, and the feminization of the labor force are important processes that have taken place in western societies in ways that may have fostered support for gender egalitarianism. Using unique data from 16 repeated cross-sectional surveys in the Netherlands, we estimate age-period-cohort regression models, and the outcomes are subsequently applied in counterfactual simulation designs. Our results show that the social, cultural, economic, and demographic changes explain only a small part of the modest rise in support for gender egalitarianism for men, while they provide a much better explanation of the stronger rise among women. Especially the replacement of older female cohorts by younger ones seems to have propelled support for gender egalitarianism among women throughout the years.

摘要

本研究考察了1979年至2012年间荷兰重要的社会、文化、经济和人口变化与荷兰民众对性别平等主义支持率上升之间的关系。队列更替、教育扩张、世俗化以及劳动力女性化是西方社会发生的重要进程,这些进程可能以促进对性别平等主义支持的方式出现。利用荷兰16次重复横断面调查的独特数据,我们估计了年龄-时期-队列回归模型,随后将结果应用于反事实模拟设计。我们的结果表明,社会、文化、经济和人口变化仅解释了男性对性别平等主义支持率适度上升的一小部分,而它们对女性中支持率更强的上升提供了更好的解释。尤其是多年来年轻女性队列取代年长女性队列似乎推动了女性对性别平等主义的支持。

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