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极端事件的变化及其对人类健康的潜在影响。

Changes in extreme events and the potential impacts on human health.

作者信息

Bell Jesse E, Brown Claudia Langford, Conlon Kathryn, Herring Stephanie, Kunkel Kenneth E, Lawrimore Jay, Luber George, Schreck Carl, Smith Adam, Uejio Christopher

机构信息

a Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites-NC , North Carolina State University , Asheville , NC , USA.

b Karna, LLC, for Climate and Health Program , Centers for Disease Control and Prevention , Atlanta , GA , USA.

出版信息

J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2018 Apr;68(4):265-287. doi: 10.1080/10962247.2017.1401017.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

Extreme weather and climate-related events affect human health by causing death, injury, and illness, as well as having large socioeconomic impacts. Climate change has caused changes in extreme event frequency, intensity, and geographic distribution, and will continue to be a driver for change in the future. Some of these events include heat waves, droughts, wildfires, dust storms, flooding rains, coastal flooding, storm surges, and hurricanes. The pathways connecting extreme events to health outcomes and economic losses can be diverse and complex. The difficulty in predicting these relationships comes from the local societal and environmental factors that affect disease burden. More information is needed about the impacts of climate change on public health and economies to effectively plan for and adapt to climate change. This paper describes some of the ways extreme events are changing and provides examples of the potential impacts on human health and infrastructure. It also identifies key research gaps to be addressed to improve the resilience of public health to extreme events in the future.

IMPLICATIONS

Extreme weather and climate events affect human health by causing death, injury, and illness, as well as having large socioeconomic impacts. Climate change has caused changes in extreme event frequency, intensity, and geographic distribution, and will continue to be a driver for change in the future. Some of these events include heat waves, droughts, wildfires, flooding rains, coastal flooding, surges, and hurricanes. The pathways connecting extreme events to health outcomes and economic losses can be diverse and complex. The difficulty in predicting these relationships comes from the local societal and environmental factors that affect disease burden.

摘要

未标注

极端天气和与气候相关的事件通过导致死亡、伤害和疾病影响人类健康,同时还会产生巨大的社会经济影响。气候变化已导致极端事件的频率、强度和地理分布发生变化,并且在未来仍将是变化的驱动因素。其中一些事件包括热浪、干旱、野火、沙尘暴、暴雨、沿海洪水、风暴潮和飓风。将极端事件与健康结果及经济损失联系起来的途径可能多种多样且错综复杂。预测这些关系的困难源于影响疾病负担的当地社会和环境因素。需要更多关于气候变化对公众健康和经济影响的信息,以便有效地规划应对气候变化并适应气候变化。本文描述了极端事件正在发生变化的一些方式,并提供了对人类健康和基础设施潜在影响的示例。它还确定了未来为提高公众健康对极端事件的适应能力需要解决的关键研究差距。

启示

极端天气和气候事件通过导致死亡、伤害和疾病影响人类健康,同时还会产生巨大的社会经济影响。气候变化已导致极端事件的频率、强度和地理分布发生变化,并且在未来仍将是变化的驱动因素。其中一些事件包括热浪、干旱、野火、暴雨、沿海洪水、风暴潮和飓风。将极端事件与健康结果及经济损失联系起来的途径可能多种多样且错综复杂。预测这些关系的困难源于影响疾病负担的当地社会和环境因素。

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