Derbie Awoke, Alemu Megbaru
Department of Medical Microbiology, Immunology and Parasitology, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.
Ethiop J Health Sci. 2017 Sep;27(5):465-472. doi: 10.4314/ejhs.v27i5.4.
An estimated 68% of the Ethiopian population, living in 75% of the landmass, is at risk of contracting malaria at any time making it the leading public health problem. The temporal analysis of malaria data could be important to evaluate the performance of malaria prevention programmes. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine the trend of malaria at Woreta Health Center (WHC) over a period of five years.
We analyzed the records of 8,057 presumptive malaria patients registered in 2012 to 2016. The following patient data were retrieved from laboratory registration logbook for analysis: sex, age, residence, blood film (BF) microscopy result, type of malaria parasite identified, year and month when the patients visited WHC. Logistic regression was employed to assess the association between potential associated factors and positive BF result; p < 0.05 was considered significant.
Among the total presumptive individuals, 4447(55.2%) were females. The prevalence of malaria in each year ranged from 4.1% to 6.7%. The overall prevalence of malaria was 5.4% (95%CI: 4.9%-5.9%). The two most important species of malaria parasite identified were P. falciparum at 233(53.7%) and P. vivax at 184(42.4%). Relatively higher proportions of cases were documented in the months of November, December and June (11.1%, 8.1% and 7.2%, respectively). Patients who visited the health center in the month of December were >4 times more likely to be infected as compared with those who came to the health center in September [AOR: 4.2, 95%CI (2.374-7.560)]. Females were 1.3 times more likely to be infected than males, [AOR: 1.3, 95%CI (1.101-1.638)]. Similarly, patients in the age group above 15 were 1.9 times more likely to be infected than individuals < 5, [AOR: 1.9 95%CI (1.498-2.455), p value 0.000].
In the studied area, malaria remains a major public health challenge. Hence, interventions to decrease the impact of the disease have to be evaluated and strengthened.
据估计,埃塞俄比亚68%的人口生活在75%的陆地区域,随时有感染疟疾的风险,这使其成为主要的公共卫生问题。对疟疾数据进行时间分析对于评估疟疾预防项目的成效可能很重要。因此,本研究的目的是确定沃雷塔健康中心(WHC)五年期间疟疾的发病趋势。
我们分析了2012年至2016年登记的8057例疑似疟疾患者的记录。从实验室登记日志中检索以下患者数据进行分析:性别、年龄、居住地、血涂片(BF)显微镜检查结果、鉴定出的疟原虫类型、患者前往WHC的年份和月份。采用逻辑回归评估潜在相关因素与BF阳性结果之间的关联;p<0.05被认为具有统计学意义。
在所有疑似患者中,4447例(55.2%)为女性。每年疟疾的患病率在4.1%至6.7%之间。疟疾的总体患病率为5.4%(95%CI:4.9%-5.9%)。鉴定出的两种最重要的疟原虫种类为恶性疟原虫233例(53.7%)和间日疟原虫184例(42.4%)。11月、12月和6月记录的病例比例相对较高(分别为11.1%、8.1%和7.2%)。12月前往健康中心的患者感染的可能性是9月前往健康中心患者的4倍多[AOR:4.2,95%CI(2.374-7.560)]。女性感染的可能性是男性的1.3倍,[AOR:1.3,95%CI(1.101-1.638)]。同样,15岁以上年龄组的患者感染的可能性是5岁以下个体的1.9倍,[AOR:1.9,95%CI(1.498-2.455),p值0.000]。
在研究区域,疟疾仍然是一项重大的公共卫生挑战。因此,必须评估并加强减少该疾病影响的干预措施。