Gurusamy Kurinchi Selvan, Riviere Deniece, van Laarhoven C J H, Besselink Marc, Abu-Hilal Mohammed, Davidson Brian R, Morris Steve
Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Department of Surgery, Radboud University, Nijmegen, Netherlands.
PLoS One. 2017 Dec 22;12(12):e0189631. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0189631. eCollection 2017.
A recent Cochrane review compared laparoscopic versus open distal pancreatectomy for people with for cancers of the body and tail of the pancreas and found that laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy may reduce the length of hospital stay. We compared the cost-effectiveness of laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy versus open distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer.
Model based cost-utility analysis estimating mean costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per patient from the perspective of the UK National Health Service. A decision tree model was constructed using probabilities, outcomes and cost data from published sources. A time horizon of 5 years was used. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were undertaken.
The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the incremental net monetary benefit was positive (£3,708.58 (95% confidence intervals (CI) -£9,473.62 to £16,115.69) but the 95% CI includes zero, indicating that there is significant uncertainty about the cost-effectiveness of laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy versus open distal pancreatectomy. The probability laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy was cost-effective compared to open distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer was between 70% and 80% at the willingness-to-pay thresholds generally used in England (£20,000 to £30,000 per QALY gained). Results were sensitive to the survival proportions and the operating time.
There is considerable uncertainty about whether laparoscopic distal pancreatectomy is cost-effective compared to open distal pancreatectomy for pancreatic cancer in the NHS setting.
最近一项Cochrane综述比较了腹腔镜与开放远端胰腺切除术治疗胰体尾癌患者的疗效,发现腹腔镜远端胰腺切除术可能会缩短住院时间。我们比较了腹腔镜远端胰腺切除术与开放远端胰腺切除术治疗胰腺癌的成本效益。
基于模型的成本效用分析,从英国国家医疗服务体系的角度估算每位患者的平均成本和质量调整生命年(QALY)。使用已发表资料中的概率、结果和成本数据构建决策树模型。采用5年的时间范围。进行了单向和概率敏感性分析。
概率敏感性分析表明,增量净货币效益为正(3708.58英镑(95%置信区间(CI)-9473.62英镑至16115.69英镑),但95%CI包含零,表明腹腔镜远端胰腺切除术与开放远端胰腺切除术的成本效益存在显著不确定性。在英国通常使用的支付意愿阈值(每获得一个QALY为20000至30000英镑)下,腹腔镜远端胰腺切除术与开放远端胰腺切除术相比具有成本效益的概率在70%至80%之间。结果对生存率和手术时间敏感。
在英国国家医疗服务体系环境下,与开放远端胰腺切除术相比,腹腔镜远端胰腺切除术治疗胰腺癌是否具有成本效益存在相当大的不确定性。