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National and subnational prevalence and burden of glaucoma in China: A systematic analysis.

作者信息

Song Peige, Wang Jiawen, Bucan Kajo, Theodoratou Evropi, Rudan Igor, Chan Kit Yee

机构信息

Centre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland, UK.

Institute of Medical Humanities, Peking University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Glob Health. 2017 Dec;7(2):020705. doi: 10.7189/jogh.07.020705.


DOI:10.7189/jogh.07.020705
PMID:29302324
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5737099/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Glaucoma, the second leading cause of blindness, affects approximately 64.3 million individuals worldwide. In China, demographic ageing is in rapid progress. Yet detailed and up-to-date estimates of the scale of glaucoma are rare. We aimed to quantify and understand the prevalence and burden of glaucoma in China from 1990 to 2015, with projections until 2050. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang, Chinese Biomedicine Literature Database (CBM-SinoMed), PubMed, Embase and Medline using comprehensive search strategies to identify all relevant articles that have reported the prevalence of glaucoma in the general Chinese population. We used a multilevel mixed-effect meta-regression to estimate the prevalence rates of primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) and primary angle-closure glaucoma (PACG), and a random-effects meta-analysis to pool the overall prevalence of secondary glaucoma. United Nations population data were used to estimate and project the number of people with glaucoma from 1990 to 2050. Univariable and multivariable meta-regressions were conducted to assess the association between the prevalence of POAG and PACG and relevant demographic and geographic factors. The national burden of POAG and PACG in the years 2000 and 2010 were distributed to six geographic regions accordingly. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2015, the prevalence of all glaucoma ranged from 2.59% (95% CI = 1.96-3.49) to 2.58% (95% CI = 1.94-3.47). For different subtypes of glaucoma, the overall prevalence of POAG ranged from 1.03% (95% CI = 0.67-1.58) in 1990 to 1.02% (95% CI = 0.67-1.57) in 2015, PACG from 1.41% (95% CI = 1.18-1.68) to 1.40% (95% CI = 1.17-1.68). The overall prevalence of secondary glaucoma was 0.15% (95% CI = 0.10-0.23) during this period. The number of people with all glaucoma in China was 5.92 million (95% CI = 4.47-7.97) in 1990, and 13.12 million (95% CI = 9.88-17.68) in 2015. This increasing trend was also witnessed in different subtypes of glaucoma. The number of people affected by POAG increased from 2.35 million (95% CI = 1.54-3.60) in 1990 to 5.22 million (95% CI = 3.40-7.98) in 2015, PACG from 3.22 million (95% CI = 2.70-3.84) to 7.14 million (95% CI = 5.97-8.53), and secondary glaucoma from 0.34 million (95% CI = 0.23-0.53) to 0.76 million (95% CI = 0.51-1.17). In 2015, more than half (54.42%) of the glaucoma cases were PACG, followed by POAG (39.79%) and secondary glaucoma (5.79%). By 2050, the number of all glaucoma cases in China will be 25.16 million (95% CI = 18.96-33.86). In the multivariable meta-regressions, the odds ratio (OR) for each decade's increase in age was 1.43 (95% CI = 1.33-1.55) for POAG, and 1.65 (95% CI = 1.51-1.80) for PACG; males were more likely to have POAG (OR 1.36, 95% CI = 1.17-1.59), but less likely to have PACG (OR 0.53, 95% CI = 0.46-0.60) compared with females. After adjustment of age and gender, people living in urban areas were more likely to have POAG compared with those in rural areas (OR 1.54, 95% CI = 1.02-2.35). People in Northeast China were at a higher risk (OR 1.77, 95% CI = 1.07-2.94) of having PACG than people in East China. Among the six regions, East China owed the most POAG and PACG cases, whereas Northwest China owed the least. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis suggests a substantial burden of glaucoma in China, with great variances among the different age groups, genders, settings and geographic regions. With the dramatic ageing trend in the next three decades, the prevalence and burden of glaucoma will continue to increase. More elaborate epidemiological studies are needed to optimise public health strategies for mitigating this important health problem.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/e50995ab015a/jogh-07-020705-F6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/167854ebbc7c/jogh-07-020705-F1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/b73f14ccd565/jogh-07-020705-F2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/df813eeafc0c/jogh-07-020705-F3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/2e08a346bc33/jogh-07-020705-F4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/2d22e43daa3c/jogh-07-020705-F5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/e50995ab015a/jogh-07-020705-F6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/167854ebbc7c/jogh-07-020705-F1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/b73f14ccd565/jogh-07-020705-F2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/df813eeafc0c/jogh-07-020705-F3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/2e08a346bc33/jogh-07-020705-F4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/2d22e43daa3c/jogh-07-020705-F5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e880/5737099/e50995ab015a/jogh-07-020705-F6.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Variations of pterygium prevalence by age, gender and geographic characteristics in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

PLoS One. 2017-3-29

[2]
Causes of death in children younger than five years in China in 2015: an updated analysis.

J Glob Health. 2016-12

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Mass deworming to improve developmental health and wellbeing of children in low-income and middle-income countries: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

Lancet Glob Health. 2017-1

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PLoS Med. 2016-6-28

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Global and regional estimates of COPD prevalence: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

J Glob Health. 2015-12

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Global variations and time trends in the prevalence of primary open angle glaucoma (POAG): a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Br J Ophthalmol. 2016-1

[7]
Glaucoma in Asia: regional prevalence variations and future projections.

Br J Ophthalmol. 2016-1

[8]
Global prevalence of age-related macular degeneration and disease burden projection for 2020 and 2040: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Lancet Glob Health. 2014-1-3

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The prevalence of primary angle closure glaucoma in adult Asians: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

PLoS One. 2014-7-24

[10]
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