Ravindrarajah Rathi, Hazra Nisha C, Charlton Judith, Jackson Stephen H D, Dregan Alex, Gulliford Martin C
Department of Primary Care and Public Health Sciences, King's College London, London, UK.
National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre at Guy's and St Thomas' National Health Service Foundation Trust, Kings' College London, London, UK.
BMJ Open. 2018 Jan 21;8(1):e018836. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2017-018836.
This study aimed to estimate the association of frailty with incidence and mortality of fractures at different sites in people aged over 80 years.
Cohort study.
UK family practices from 2001 to 2014.
265 195 registered participants aged 80 years and older.
Frailty status classified into 'fit', 'mild', 'moderate' and 'severe' frailty. Fractures, classified into non-fragility and fragility, including fractures of femur, pelvis, shoulder and upper arm, and forearm/wrist. Incidence of fracture, and mortality within 90 days and 1 year, were estimated.
There were 28 643 fractures including: non-fragility fractures, 9101; femur, 12 501; pelvis, 2172; shoulder and upper arm, 4965; and forearm/wrist, 6315. The incidence of each fracture type was higher in women and increased with frailty category (femur, severe frailty compared with 'fit', incidence rate ratio (IRR) 2.4, 95% CI 2.3 to 2.6). Fractures of the femur (95-99 years compared with 80-84 years, IRR 2.7, 95% CI 2.6 to 2.9) and pelvis (IRR 2.9, 95% CI 2.5 to 3.3) were strongly associated with age but non-fragility and forearm fractures were not. Mortality within 90 days was greatest for femur fracture (adjusted HR, compared with forearm fracture 4.3, 95% CI 3.7 to 5.1). Mortality was higher in men and increased with age (HR 5.3, 95% CI 4.3 to 6.5 in those over 100 years compared with 80-84 years) but was less strongly associated with frailty category. Similar associations with fractures were seen at 1-year mortality.
The incidence of fractures at all sites was higher in women and strongly associated with advancing frailty status, while the risk of mortality after a fracture was greater in men and was associated with age rather than frailty category.
本研究旨在评估80岁以上人群中衰弱与不同部位骨折发生率及死亡率之间的关联。
队列研究。
2001年至2014年英国的家庭医疗实践。
265195名年龄在80岁及以上的注册参与者。
衰弱状态分为“健康”“轻度衰弱”“中度衰弱”和“重度衰弱”。骨折分为非脆性骨折和脆性骨折,包括股骨、骨盆、肩部和上臂以及前臂/腕部骨折。估算骨折发生率以及90天内和1年内的死亡率。
共发生28643例骨折,其中:非脆性骨折9101例;股骨骨折12501例;骨盆骨折2172例;肩部和上臂骨折4965例;前臂/腕部骨折6315例。每种骨折类型的发生率在女性中更高,且随衰弱程度增加而升高(股骨骨折,重度衰弱与“健康”相比,发病率比(IRR)为2.4,95%置信区间为2.3至2.6)。股骨骨折(95 - 99岁与80 - 84岁相比,IRR为2.7,95%置信区间为2.6至2.9)和骨盆骨折(IRR为2.9,95%置信区间为2.5至3.3)与年龄密切相关,但非脆性骨折和前臂骨折与年龄无关。股骨骨折90天内死亡率最高(与前臂骨折相比,校正后风险比为4.3,95%置信区间为3.7至5.1)。男性死亡率更高,且随年龄增加而升高(100岁以上与80 - 84岁相比,风险比为5.3,95%置信区间为4.3至6.5),但与衰弱程度的关联较弱。在1年死亡率方面也观察到与骨折类似的关联。
所有部位骨折的发生率在女性中更高,且与衰弱程度进展密切相关,而骨折后男性的死亡风险更大,且与年龄而非衰弱程度相关。