• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利：CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法，用中文像聊天一样搜索，搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐，让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版，准确专业，支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式，支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述，25分钟生成高质量综述，智能提取关键信息，辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

全球年龄别生育率和总生育率变化的简约特征描述。

A parsimonious characterization of change in global age-specific and total fertility rates.

作者信息

Pantazis Athena, Clark Samuel J

机构信息

Department of Sociology, The University of Washington, Seattle, United States of America.

Department of Sociology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2018 Jan 29;13(1):e0190574. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190574. eCollection 2018.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0190574
PMID:29377899
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5788345/
Abstract

This study aims to understand trends in global fertility from 1950-2010 though the analysis of age-specific fertility rates. This approach incorporates both the overall level, as when the total fertility rate is modeled, and different patterns of age-specific fertility to examine the relationship between changes in age-specific fertility and fertility decline. Singular value decomposition is used to capture the variation in age-specific fertility curves while reducing the number of dimensions, allowing curves to be described nearly fully with three parameters. Regional patterns and trends over time are evident in parameter values, suggesting this method provides a useful tool for considering fertility decline globally. The second and third parameters were analyzed using model-based clustering to examine patterns of age-specific fertility over time and place; four clusters were obtained. A country's demographic transition can be traced through time by membership in the different clusters, and regional patterns in the trajectories through time and with fertility decline are identified.

摘要

本研究旨在通过分析特定年龄生育率来了解1950年至2010年全球生育率的趋势。这种方法既纳入了总体水平（如在对总和生育率进行建模时），也纳入了特定年龄生育率的不同模式，以研究特定年龄生育率变化与生育率下降之间的关系。奇异值分解用于捕捉特定年龄生育率曲线的变化，同时减少维度数量，使得曲线几乎可以用三个参数完全描述。参数值随时间呈现出明显的区域模式和趋势，这表明该方法为全球生育率下降的研究提供了一个有用的工具。使用基于模型的聚类分析对第二和第三个参数进行分析，以研究特定年龄生育率随时间和地点的模式；共得到四个聚类。一个国家的人口转变可以通过其在不同聚类中的成员身份随时间进行追踪，并且可以识别出随时间和生育率下降的轨迹中的区域模式。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/1f35048eb54f/pone.0190574.g009.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/c16c9d887f35/pone.0190574.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/1d1eafd76941/pone.0190574.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/a7648deaa602/pone.0190574.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/bd1d9c49b262/pone.0190574.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/6f71697159a6/pone.0190574.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/5e4d13e4e9bc/pone.0190574.g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/f3dc1cc4d760/pone.0190574.g007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/c36fcccc705c/pone.0190574.g008.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/1f35048eb54f/pone.0190574.g009.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/c16c9d887f35/pone.0190574.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/1d1eafd76941/pone.0190574.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/a7648deaa602/pone.0190574.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/bd1d9c49b262/pone.0190574.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/6f71697159a6/pone.0190574.g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/5e4d13e4e9bc/pone.0190574.g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/f3dc1cc4d760/pone.0190574.g007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/c36fcccc705c/pone.0190574.g008.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/741a/5788345/1f35048eb54f/pone.0190574.g009.jpg

相似文献

1
A parsimonious characterization of change in global age-specific and total fertility rates.全球年龄别生育率和总生育率变化的简约特征描述。
PLoS One. 2018 Jan 29;13(1):e0190574. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190574. eCollection 2018.
2
Sub-national differentials in New Zealand fertility, 1971-76.1971 - 1976年新西兰生育率的次国家层面差异。
Q Demogr Bull. 1979 Sep;3(2):4-17.
3
Fertility transition in Bangladesh: trends and determinants.孟加拉国的生育转变：趋势与决定因素
Asia Pac Popul J. 1987 Dec;2(4):53-72.
4
Fertility levels, patterns and differentials in Papua New Guinea.巴布亚新几内亚的生育水平、模式及差异
Genus. 1987 Jan-Jun;43(1-2):69-92.
5
[Fertility in Brazil (urban and rural)--application of the own children method to the 1970 census].[巴西的生育率（城市和农村）——将亲生子女法应用于1970年人口普查]
Inf Demogr. 1983(9):53-97.
6
The impact of education on fertility according to region and contraceptive use.根据地区和避孕措施使用情况，教育对生育率的影响。
Egypt Popul Fam Plann Rev. 1993 Jun;27(1):19-66.
7
Reflections on fertility dynamics in Romania.关于罗马尼亚生育动态的思考
Rev Med Chir Soc Med Nat Iasi. 2012 Jan-Mar;116(1):254-61.
8
[Fertility in rural and urban areas of Mexico].[墨西哥农村和城市地区的生育率]
Estud Demogr Urbanos Col Mex. 1989 Jan-Apr;4(1):53-74, 215-6.
9
[Socioeconomic differentials in the decline of fertility in Costa Rica, 1960-1970 (author's transl)].[1960 - 1970年哥斯达黎加生育率下降中的社会经济差异（作者译）]
Notas Poblacion. 1979 Dec;7(21):9-69.
10
[Fertility change in Bolivia].[玻利维亚的生育率变化]
Notas Poblacion. 1991 Aug;19(53):47-78.

引用本文的文献

1
Melatonin: a potential target for regulating ovarian function.褪黑素：调节卵巢功能的潜在靶点。
Arch Gynecol Obstet. 2025 Jun 8. doi: 10.1007/s00404-025-08079-3.
2
Exploring melatonin's multifaceted role in female reproductive health: From follicular development to lactation and its therapeutic potential in obstetric syndromes.探索褪黑素在女性生殖健康中的多方面作用：从卵泡发育到泌乳及其在产科综合征中的治疗潜力。
J Adv Res. 2025 Apr;70:223-242. doi: 10.1016/j.jare.2024.04.025. Epub 2024 Apr 30.
3
Effect of M247 Administration on Pregnancy Outcomes in Women Undergoing IVF: A Controlled, Retrospective, Observational, and Open-Label Study.

本文引用的文献

1
Modeling age-specific mortality for countries with generalized HIV epidemics.对艾滋病普遍流行国家的特定年龄死亡率进行建模。
PLoS One. 2014 May 22;9(5):e96447. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0096447. eCollection 2014.
2
Fertility Transition: Is sub-Saharan Africa Different?生育转变：撒哈拉以南非洲地区是否不同？
Popul Dev Rev. 2013 Feb;38(Suppl 1):153-168. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2013.00557.x.
3
Birth intervals, postponement, and fertility decline in Africa: a new type of transition?非洲的生育间隔、生育推迟与生育率下降：一种新型转变？
M247给药对接受体外受精的女性妊娠结局的影响：一项对照、回顾性、观察性开放标签研究。
Microorganisms. 2023 Nov 17;11(11):2796. doi: 10.3390/microorganisms11112796.
4
Can cancer go green? It's up to us.癌症能走向绿色环保之路吗？这取决于我们。
Front Oncol. 2023 Feb 22;13:1074091. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1074091. eCollection 2023.
5
Shifts in age pattern, timing of childbearing and trend in fertility level across six regions of Nigeria: Nigeria Demographic and Health Surveys from 2003-2018.尼日利亚六个地区年龄模式、生育时间和生育水平趋势的变化：2003-2018 年尼日利亚人口与健康调查。
PLoS One. 2023 Jan 20;18(1):e0279365. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0279365. eCollection 2023.
6
Significant regional inequalities in the prevalence of intellectual disability and trends from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis of GBD 2019.2019 年全球疾病负担研究：智力残疾的流行率及其地区间差异的变化趋势：一项系统分析。
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci. 2022 Dec 21;31:e91. doi: 10.1017/S2045796022000701.
7
Pregnancy Outcomes after Frozen Embryo Transfer and Fresh Embryo Transfer in Women of Advanced Maternal Age: Single-Center Experience.高龄产妇冻融胚胎移植与新鲜胚胎移植后的妊娠结局：单中心经验
J Clin Med. 2022 Oct 28;11(21):6395. doi: 10.3390/jcm11216395.
8
Factors Associated With Changes in Pregnancy Intention Among Women Who Were Mothers of Young Children in New York City Following the COVID-19 Outbreak.与纽约市新冠疫情后有年幼子女的女性怀孕意愿变化相关的因素。
JAMA Netw Open. 2021 Sep 1;4(9):e2124273. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.24273.
9
Applications of Melatonin in Female Reproduction in the Context of Oxidative Stress.褪黑素在氧化应激背景下对女性生殖的应用。
Oxid Med Cell Longev. 2021 Jul 29;2021:6668365. doi: 10.1155/2021/6668365. eCollection 2021.
10
Advanced Maternal Age Deteriorates the Developmental Competence of Vitrified Oocytes in Mice.高龄会降低小鼠卵母细胞玻璃化冷冻后的发育能力。
Cells. 2021 Jun 21;10(6):1563. doi: 10.3390/cells10061563.
Popul Stud (Camb). 2012 Nov;66(3):241-58. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2012.701660. Epub 2012 Aug 14.
4
Family limitation and the fertility transition: Evidence from the age patterns of fertility in Europe and Asia.家庭生育限制与生育转变：来自欧洲和亚洲生育年龄模式的证据。
Popul Stud (Camb). 1977 Jul;31(2):219-49. doi: 10.1080/00324728.1977.10410428.
5
On the scale of global demographic convergence, 1950-2000.在1950年至2000年全球人口趋同的规模上。
Popul Dev Rev. 2001;27(1):155-71. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2001.00155.x.
6
Model fertility schedules: variations in the age structure of childbearing in human populations.模型生育时间表：人类种群生育年龄结构的变化
Popul Index. 1974 Apr;40(2):185-258.
7
Modeling and forecasting the time series of US fertility: age distribution, range, and ultimate level.美国生育率时间序列建模与预测：年龄分布、范围及最终水平
Int J Forecast. 1993 Aug;9(2):187-202. doi: 10.1016/0169-2070(93)90004-7.
8
Why fertility changes.为什么生育能力会发生变化。
Annu Rev Sociol. 1994;20:203-33. doi: 10.1146/annurev.so.20.080194.001223.