Shimamura Fumiya, Hamada Chikuma, Matsui Shigeyuki, Hirakawa Akihiro
a Clinical Research Department, Clinical Development Division , Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. , Tokyo , Japan.
b Department of Information and Computer Technology , Tokyo University of Science , Tokyo , Japan.
J Biopharm Stat. 2018;28(6):1025-1037. doi: 10.1080/10543406.2018.1434190. Epub 2018 Feb 8.
In Phase I/II trials for a combination therapy of two agents, we ideally want to explore as many dose combinations as possible with limited sample size in Phase I and to reduce the number of untried dose combinations before moving to Phase II. Efficient collection of toxicity data in Phase I would eventually improve the accuracy of optimal dose combination identification in Phase II. In this paper, we develop a novel dose-finding method based on efficacy and toxicity outcomes for two-agent combination Phase I/II trials. We propose a "zone-finding stage" that determines the most admissible toxicity zone on the dose combination matrix and subsequently select the dose combination allocated to the next patient from that zone in Phase I. Upon completion of this zone-finding stage, we allocate the next patient to the dose combination determined by adaptive randomization of the admissible toxicity and efficacy dose combinations in Phase II. Simulation studies demonstrated the utility of the proposed zone-finding stage and proved that the operating characteristic of the proposed method was no worse than the existing method. The sensitivity of the proposed method, as well as the operating characteristic of this method when the efficacy outcome is delayed, was also examined.
在两种药物联合治疗的I/II期试验中,理想情况下,我们希望在I期以有限的样本量探索尽可能多的剂量组合,并在进入II期之前减少未尝试的剂量组合数量。在I期有效收集毒性数据最终将提高II期最佳剂量组合识别的准确性。在本文中,我们为两种药物联合的I/II期试验开发了一种基于疗效和毒性结果的新型剂量探索方法。我们提出了一个“区域探索阶段”,该阶段确定剂量组合矩阵上最可接受的毒性区域,随后在I期从该区域中为下一位患者选择分配的剂量组合。在这个区域探索阶段完成后,我们在II期将下一位患者分配到由可接受的毒性和疗效剂量组合的自适应随机化确定的剂量组合。模拟研究证明了所提出的区域探索阶段的实用性,并证明了所提方法的操作特性不劣于现有方法。还检验了所提方法的敏感性,以及当疗效结果延迟时该方法的操作特性。