Young-Xu Yinong, van Aalst Robertus, Russo Ellyn, Lee Jason K H, Chit Ayman
Clinical Epidemiology Program, Veterans Affairs Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, United States of America.
Department of Psychiatry, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Hanover, New Hampshire, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2017 Jan 3;12(1):e0169344. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0169344. eCollection 2017.
Seasonal influenza epidemics have a substantial public health and economic burden in the United States (US). On average, over 200,000 people are hospitalized and an estimated 23,000 people die from respiratory and circulatory complications associated with seasonal influenza virus infections each year. Annual direct medical costs and indirect productivity costs across the US have been found to average respectively at $10.4 billion and $16.3 billion. The objective of this study was to estimate the economic impact of severe influenza-induced illness on the US Veterans Affairs population. The five-year study period included 2010 through 2014. Influenza-attributed outcomes were estimated with a statistical regression model using observed emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalizations, and deaths from the Veterans Health Administration of the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) electronic medical records and respiratory viral surveillance data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Data from VA's Managerial Cost Accounting system were used to estimate the costs of the emergency department and hospital visits. Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics were used to estimate the costs of lost productivity; data on age at death, life expectancy and economic valuations for a statistical life year were used to estimate the costs of a premature death. An estimated 10,674 (95% CI 8,661-12,687) VA ED visits, 2,538 (95% CI 2,112-2,964) VA hospitalizations, 5,522 (95% CI 4,834-6,210) all-cause deaths, and 3,793 (95% CI 3,375-4,211) underlying respiratory or circulatory deaths (inside and outside VA) among adult Veterans were attributable to influenza each year from 2010 through 2014. The annual value of lost productivity amounted to $27 (95% CI $24-31) million and the annual costs for ED visits were $6.2 (95% CI $5.1-7.4) million. Ninety-six percent of VA hospitalizations resulted in either death or a discharge to home, with annual costs totaling $36 (95% CI $30-43) million. The remaining 4% of hospitalizations were followed by extended care at rehabilitation and skilled nursing facilities with annual costs totaling $5.5 (95% CI $4.4-6.8) million. The annual monetary value of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) lost amounted to $1.1 (95% CI $1.0-1.2) billion. In total, the estimated annual economic burden was $1.2 (95% CI $1.0-1.3) billion, indicating the substantial burden of seasonal influenza epidemics on the US Veterans Affairs population. Premature death was found to be the largest driver of these costs, followed by hospitalization.
季节性流感疫情在美国造成了巨大的公共卫生和经济负担。平均而言,每年有超过20万人住院,估计有2.3万人死于与季节性流感病毒感染相关的呼吸和循环系统并发症。美国每年的直接医疗费用和间接生产力成本分别平均为104亿美元和163亿美元。本研究的目的是估计严重流感引发的疾病对美国退伍军人事务部人群的经济影响。五年的研究期包括2010年至2014年。使用观察到的急诊科就诊、住院情况以及退伍军人事务部(VA)电子病历中的退伍军人健康管理局数据和疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)的呼吸道病毒监测数据,通过统计回归模型估计流感归因的结果。VA管理成本核算系统的数据用于估计急诊科和住院就诊的费用。劳工统计局的数据用于估计生产力损失成本;死亡年龄、预期寿命和统计生命年的经济估值数据用于估计过早死亡的成本。2010年至2014年期间,成年退伍军人中每年估计有10674例(95%置信区间8661 - 12687)VA急诊科就诊、2538例(95%置信区间2112 - 2964)VA住院、5522例(95%置信区间4834 - 6210)全因死亡以及3793例(95%置信区间3375 - 4211)潜在的呼吸或循环系统死亡(在VA内外)可归因于流感。生产力损失的年度价值达2700万美元(95%置信区间2400 - 3100万美元),急诊科就诊的年度费用为620万美元(95%置信区间510 - 740万美元)。96%的VA住院导致死亡或出院回家归宿,年度费用总计3600万美元(95%置信区间3000 - 4300万美元)。其余4%的住院后在康复和专业护理机构接受延长护理,年度费用总计550万美元(95%置信区间440 - 680万美元)。质量调整生命年(QALYs)损失的年度货币价值达11亿美元(95%置信区间10 - 12亿美元)。总体而言,估计年度经济负担为12亿美元(95%置信区间10 - 13亿美元),表明季节性流感疫情对美国退伍军人事务部人群造成了巨大负担。发现过早死亡是这些成本的最大驱动因素,其次是住院治疗。