Woolhouse Mark E J, Adair Kyle
Centre for Immunity, Infection, Evolution, University of Edinburgh, Ashworth Laboratories, Kings Buildings, West Mains Rd, Edinburgh EH9 3JT, UK.
Future Virol. 2013 Feb;8(2):159-171. doi: 10.2217/fvl.12.129.
We still cannot answer the very basic question "how many kinds of RNA viruses are there?" even for those that infect humans. It is often suggested that there remains a large number of viruses in humans that we have not yet discovered or recognised, and that there is a much larger and rapidly evolving pool of potential new viruses in mammalian and avian reservoirs that humans are continually being exposed to. However, a careful examination of discovery rates of new human RNA virus species, genera and families challenges this view, raising the possibility that the diversity is much more limited. Moreover, there is some evidence that the cast of human viruses is dynamic, with existing viruses disappearing (at least from humans) and new viruses appearing (perhaps evolving) over timescales of decades. Most of these new viruses, however, remain rare; only a small (but highly significant) minority are capable of spreading extensively through human populations.
即使对于那些感染人类的病毒,我们仍然无法回答“有多少种RNA病毒?”这个非常基本的问题。人们常说,人类中仍有大量病毒尚未被发现或识别,而且在哺乳动物和鸟类宿主中,存在着数量更多且在迅速演变的潜在新病毒库,人类不断接触到这些病毒。然而,仔细研究新的人类RNA病毒物种、属和科的发现率对这一观点提出了挑战,这增加了病毒多样性更为有限的可能性。此外,有证据表明人类病毒的构成是动态的,现有病毒会消失(至少从人类中消失),新病毒会在几十年的时间尺度上出现(可能是进化而来)。然而,这些新病毒大多仍然罕见;只有一小部分(但非常显著)能够在人群中广泛传播。