Glenrose Rehabilitation Hospital.
Department of Psychology, University of New Brunswick-Saint John.
Law Hum Behav. 2018 Jun;42(3):258-268. doi: 10.1037/lhb0000279. Epub 2018 Apr 5.
The risk-need-responsivity model (RNR; Bonta & Andrews, 2017) has become a leading approach for effective offender case management, but field tests of this model are still required. The present study first assessed the predictive validity of the RNR-informed Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (LS/CMI; Andrews, Bonta, & Wormith, 2004) with a sample of Atlantic Canadian male and female community-supervised provincial offenders (N = 136). Next, the case management plans prepared from these LS/CMI results were analyzed for adherence to the principles of risk, need, and responsivity. As expected, the LS/CMI was a strong predictor of general recidivism for both males (area under the curve = .75, 95% confidence interval [.66, .85]), and especially females (area under the curve = .94, 95% confidence interval [.84, 1.00]), over an average 3.42-year follow-up period. The LS/CMI was predictive of time to recidivism, with lower risk cases taking longer to reoffend than higher risk cases. Despite the robust predictive validity of the LS/CMI, case management plans developed by probation officers generally reflected poor adherence to the RNR principles. These findings highlight the need for better training on how to transfer risk appraisal information from valid risk tools to case plans to better meet the best-practice principles of risk, need, and responsivity for criminal behavior risk reduction. (PsycINFO Database Record
风险-需求-反应性模型（RNR；Bonta & Andrews，2017）已成为一种有效的罪犯案件管理的主要方法，但仍需要对该模型进行现场测试。本研究首先使用大西洋加拿大男女社区监督省级罪犯样本（N=136）评估了 RNR 信息丰富的服务/案例管理清单（LS/CMI；Andrews、Bonta 和 Wormith，2004）的预测有效性。接下来，对从这些 LS/CMI 结果制定的案例管理计划进行了分析，以确定其是否符合风险、需求和反应性原则。正如预期的那样，LS/CMI 是男性（曲线下面积 =.75，95%置信区间 [.66，.85]）和女性（曲线下面积 =.94，95%置信区间 [.84，1.00]）普遍累犯的有力预测因素，平均随访期为 3.42 年。LS/CMI 可以预测累犯时间，风险较低的案件比风险较高的案件需要更长的时间再次犯罪。尽管 LS/CMI 具有强大的预测有效性，但缓刑官制定的案例管理计划通常反映出对 RNR 原则的遵守程度较差。这些发现强调了需要更好地培训如何将风险评估信息从有效的风险工具转移到案例计划中，以更好地满足风险、需求和反应性减少犯罪行为风险的最佳实践原则。（PsycINFO 数据库记录）
