Institute of Keshan Disease, Chinese Center for Endemic Disease Control, Harbin Medical University, 157 Baojian Road, 150081, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
The Third Affiliated Hospital, Harbin Medical University, 150 Haping Road, 150081, Harbin, People's Republic of China.
Biol Trace Elem Res. 2018 Nov;186(1):98-105. doi: 10.1007/s12011-018-1302-5. Epub 2018 Apr 7.
Systematic review (SR) of high-quality studies provides superior evidence, but an SR has not been conducted to evaluate the association between Keshan disease (KD) and selenium deficiency because SR was not available when KD was highly prevalent in the 1950s to 1970s. The objective of this study was to update our understanding of the etiology of KD and provide evidence for policies and strategies in KD surveillance, prevention, and control. We identified related studies by searching the CNKI, Wanfang, CQVIP, SinoMed, CMCI, PubMed, Embase, and EBSCO databases from January 1935 to April 2017. Community trials that met the inclusion criteria were included. Risk ratios (RR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled to compare incidences between the two groups. A total of 17 articles (including 41 studies) were included. In total, the studies included 1,983,238 subjects, 683,075 of which were in experimental groups and 1,300,163 of which were in control groups. The protection rates were over 80% in 35 studies, and the overall effect (risk ratio) was 0.14 [95% CI (0.12, 0.16), P < 0.05]. Potential publication bias was observed in the funnel plots, but the results of Egger's and Begg's tests showed that there was no evidence of publication bias. Giving selenium supplements to the residents of KD endemic areas significantly reduced the incidence of KD. Selenium deficiency is therefore a cause of KD by the criterion of causation in modern epidemiology. Selenium should be included in the KD surveillance program. The description of "unknown cause" in the definition of KD may be inappropriate.
系统评价(SR)高质量的研究提供了更好的证据,但由于在 20 世纪 50 年代至 70 年代克山病(KD)高发时期没有 SR,因此没有进行 KD 与硒缺乏之间的关联的 SR。本研究旨在更新我们对 KD 病因的认识,并为 KD 监测、预防和控制的政策和策略提供证据。我们通过检索中国知网、万方、维普、中国生物医学文献服务系统、中国临床试验注册中心、PubMed、Embase 和 EBSCO 数据库,从 1935 年 1 月至 2017 年 4 月,识别出相关研究。纳入符合纳入标准的社区试验。采用风险比(RR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)比较两组之间的发生率。共纳入 17 篇文章(包括 41 项研究)。共纳入 1983238 例受试者,实验组 683075 例,对照组 1300163 例。35 项研究的保护率超过 80%,总体效果(RR)为 0.14[95%CI(0.12,0.16),P<0.05]。漏斗图显示存在潜在发表偏倚,但 Egger 检验和 Begg 检验结果显示无发表偏倚证据。给克山病流行区居民补充硒可显著降低克山病的发病率。因此,根据现代流行病学的病因标准,硒缺乏是克山病的一个病因。硒应纳入克山病监测计划。克山病定义中“病因不明”的描述可能不合适。