a Department of Psychology , University of Victoria , Victoria , BC , Canada.
Subst Use Misuse. 2018 Nov 10;53(13):2112-2124. doi: 10.1080/10826084.2018.1455702. Epub 2018 Apr 13.
Past studies have differentiated classes of polysubstance use in adolescence, however, the associations of adolescent polysubstance use classes with longitudinal substance use trajectories from adolescence to young adulthood have not been studied.
The current study examined substance use classes during adolescence and longitudinal trajectories of each substance used across the transition to young adulthood.
Data were collected biennially from 662 youth and followed 10 years across six measurement assessments. Using baseline data (T1), latent class analysis was used to identify classes of polysubstance use (cigarette, alcohol, marijuana, and illicit drug use) during adolescence. Using T2 through T6 data, we fit latent growth models for cigarette, alcohol, marijuana, and illicit drug use to examine longitudinal trajectories of each substance used by class.
A three-class model fit the data best and included a poly-use class, that had high probabilities of use among all substances, a co-use class, that had high probabilities of use among alcohol and marijuana, and a low-use class that had low probabilities of use among all substances. We then examined trajectories of each substance used by class. Strong continuity of substance use was found by class across 14 years. Additionally, for some substances, higher average levels of use of at age 14 were associated with change in growth of other substances used over time. Conclusions/Importance: Efforts that only target a single drug type may be missing an important opportunity to reduce the use and subsequent consequences related to the use of multiple substances.
过去的研究已经区分了青少年时期的多种物质使用类别,但青少年时期的多种物质使用类别与从青少年到成年早期的纵向物质使用轨迹之间的关联尚未得到研究。
本研究考察了青少年时期的物质使用类别,并研究了每种物质在向成年早期过渡期间的纵向使用轨迹。
数据每两年从 662 名年轻人中收集一次,并在六个测量评估中跟踪了 10 年。使用基线数据(T1),使用潜在类别分析来确定青少年时期多种物质使用(香烟、酒精、大麻和非法药物使用)的类别。使用 T2 至 T6 数据,我们为香烟、酒精、大麻和非法药物使用拟合潜在增长模型,以检查每个物质使用类别的纵向轨迹。
三阶模型最适合数据,包括一个高多种物质使用类,该类在所有物质中使用的概率都很高,一个共使用类,该类在酒精和大麻中使用的概率都很高,以及一个低使用类,该类在所有物质中使用的概率都很低。然后,我们考察了每个物质使用类别的轨迹。在 14 年的时间里,各物质使用类别的物质使用情况具有很强的连续性。此外,对于某些物质,在 14 岁时的平均使用水平较高与随时间推移其他物质使用的增长变化有关。结论/意义:仅针对单一药物类型的努力可能会错失减少与多种物质使用相关的使用和后续后果的重要机会。