Kashyap Ridhi
a University of Oxford.
b Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.
Popul Stud (Camb). 2019 Mar;73(1):57-78. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2018.1442583. Epub 2018 May 25.
I examine whether prenatal sex selection has substituted postnatal excess female mortality by analysing the dynamics of child sex ratios between 1980 and 2015 using country-level life table data. I decompose changes in child sex ratios into a 'fertility' component attributable to prenatal sex selection and a 'mortality' component attributable to sex differentials in postnatal survival. Although reductions in numbers of excess female deaths have accompanied increases in missing female births in all countries experiencing the emergence of prenatal sex selection, relative excess female mortality has persisted in some countries but not others. In South Korea, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, mortality reductions favouring girls accompanied increases in prenatal sex selection. In India, excess female mortality was much higher and largely stable as prenatal sex selection emerged, but slight reductions were seen in the 2000s. In China, although absolute measures showed reductions, relative excess female mortality persisted as prenatal sex selection increased.
我通过利用国家层面的生命表数据,分析1980年至2015年间儿童性别比的动态变化,来研究产前性别选择是否替代了产后女性的高死亡率。我将儿童性别比的变化分解为一个归因于产前性别选择的“生育率”部分和一个归因于产后生存性别差异的“死亡率”部分。尽管在所有出现产前性别选择的国家,女性死亡人数的减少伴随着女婴出生缺失数量的增加,但相对女性高死亡率在一些国家持续存在,而在另一些国家则不然。在韩国、亚美尼亚和阿塞拜疆,有利于女孩的死亡率下降伴随着产前性别选择的增加。在印度,随着产前性别选择的出现,女性高死亡率要高得多且基本稳定,但在21世纪有所下降。在中国,尽管绝对指标显示有所下降,但随着产前性别选择的增加,相对女性高死亡率仍然存在。