Fujibayashi Kazutoshi, Takahashi Hiromizu, Tanei Mika, Uehara Yuki, Yokokawa Hirohide, Naito Toshio
Department of General Medicine, School of Medicine, Juntendo University, Tokyo, Japan.
JMIR Mhealth Uhealth. 2018 Jun 6;6(6):e136. doi: 10.2196/mhealth.9834.
Influenza infections can spread rapidly, and influenza outbreaks are a major public health concern worldwide. Early detection of signs of an influenza pandemic is important to prevent global outbreaks. Development of information and communications technologies for influenza surveillance, including participatory surveillance systems involving lay users, has recently increased. Many of these systems can estimate influenza activity faster than the conventional influenza surveillance systems. Unfortunately, few of these influenza-tracking systems are available in Japan.
This study aimed to evaluate the flu-tracking ability of Flu-Report, a new influenza-tracking mobile phone app that uses a self-administered questionnaire for the early detection of influenza activity.
Flu-Report was used to collect influenza-related information (ie, dates on which influenza infections were diagnosed) from November 2016 to March 2017. Participants were adult volunteers from throughout Japan, who also provided information about their cohabiting family members. The utility of Flu-Report was evaluated by comparison with the conventional influenza surveillance information and basic information from an existing large-scale influenza-tracking system (an automatic surveillance system based on electronic records of prescription drug purchases).
Information was obtained through Flu-Report for approximately 10,094 volunteers. In total, 2134 participants were aged <20 years, 6958 were aged 20-59 years, and 1002 were aged ≥60 years. Between November 2016 and March 2017, 347 participants reported they had influenza or an influenza-like illness in the 2016 season. Flu-Report-derived influenza infection time series data displayed a good correlation with basic information obtained from the existing influenza surveillance system (rho, ρ=.65, P=.001). However, the influenza morbidity ratio for our participants was approximately 25% of the mean influenza morbidity ratio for the Japanese population. The Flu-Report influenza morbidity ratio was 5.06% (108/2134) among those aged <20 years, 3.16% (220/6958) among those aged 20-59 years, and 0.59% (6/1002) among those aged ≥60 years. In contrast, influenza morbidity ratios for Japanese individuals aged <20 years, 20-59 years, and ≥60 years were recently estimated at 31.97% to 37.90%, 8.16% to 9.07%, and 2.71% to 4.39%, respectively.
Flu-Report supports easy access to near real-time information about influenza activity via the accumulation of self-administered questionnaires. However, Flu-Report users may be influenced by selection bias, which is a common issue associated with surveillance using information and communications technologies. Despite this, Flu-Report has the potential to provide basic data that could help detect influenza outbreaks.
流感感染传播迅速,流感爆发是全球主要的公共卫生问题。早期发现流感大流行迹象对于预防全球爆发至关重要。近年来,用于流感监测的信息通信技术不断发展,包括涉及普通用户的参与式监测系统。这些系统中的许多能够比传统流感监测系统更快地估计流感活动情况。不幸的是,日本可用的此类流感追踪系统很少。
本研究旨在评估一款新型流感追踪手机应用程序Flu-Report的流感追踪能力,该应用程序使用自我管理问卷来早期发现流感活动。
2016年11月至2017年3月期间,使用Flu-Report收集流感相关信息(即流感感染确诊日期)。参与者为来自日本各地的成年志愿者,他们还提供了与其共同居住家庭成员的信息。通过与传统流感监测信息以及现有大规模流感追踪系统(基于处方药购买电子记录的自动监测系统)的基础信息进行比较,评估Flu-Report的实用性。
通过Flu-Report获得了约10094名志愿者的信息。其中,2134名参与者年龄小于20岁,6958名年龄在20至59岁之间,1002名年龄≥60岁。2016年11月至2017年3月期间,347名参与者报告他们在2016年季节患了流感或流感样疾病。Flu-Report得出的流感感染时间序列数据与从现有流感监测系统获得的基础信息显示出良好的相关性(rho,ρ = 0.65,P = 0.001)。然而,我们参与者的流感发病率约为日本人群平均流感发病率的25%。Flu-Report的流感发病率在年龄小于20岁的人群中为5.06%(108/2134),在20至59岁的人群中为3.16%(220/6958),在年龄≥60岁的人群中为0.59%(6/1002)。相比之下,最近估计日本年龄小于20岁、20至59岁和≥60岁人群的流感发病率分别为31.97%至37.90%、8.16%至9.07%和2.71%至4.39%。
Flu-Report通过自我管理问卷的积累,支持轻松获取近乎实时的流感活动信息。然而,Flu-Report用户可能受到选择偏倚的影响,这是与使用信息通信技术进行监测相关的常见问题。尽管如此,Flu-Report有潜力提供有助于发现流感爆发的基础数据。