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一种基于蒙特卡洛方法的贝叶斯定性量表一致性测量方法。

A Monte Carlo-Based Bayesian Approach for Measuring Agreement in a Qualitative Scale.

作者信息

Calle-Alonso Fernando, Pérez Sánchez Carlos Javier

机构信息

University of Extremadura, Caceres, Spain.

出版信息

Appl Psychol Meas. 2015 May;39(3):189-207. doi: 10.1177/0146621614554080. Epub 2014 Nov 5.

Abstract

Agreement analysis has been an active research area whose techniques have been widely applied in psychology and other fields. However, statistical agreement among raters has been mainly considered from a classical statistics point of view. Bayesian methodology is a viable alternative that allows the inclusion of subjective initial information coming from expert opinions, personal judgments, or historical data. A Bayesian approach is proposed by providing a unified Monte Carlo-based framework to estimate all types of measures of agreement in a qualitative scale of response. The approach is conceptually simple and it has a low computational cost. Both informative and non-informative scenarios are considered. In case no initial information is available, the results are in line with the classical methodology, but providing more information on the measures of agreement. For the informative case, some guidelines are presented to elicitate the prior distribution. The approach has been applied to two applications related to schizophrenia diagnosis and sensory analysis.

摘要

一致性分析一直是一个活跃的研究领域,其技术已在心理学和其他领域得到广泛应用。然而,评分者之间的统计一致性主要是从经典统计学的角度来考虑的。贝叶斯方法是一种可行的替代方法,它允许纳入来自专家意见、个人判断或历史数据的主观初始信息。本文提出了一种贝叶斯方法,通过提供一个统一的基于蒙特卡罗的框架,来估计定性反应量表中所有类型的一致性度量。该方法概念简单,计算成本低。同时考虑了信息性和非信息性两种情况。在没有初始信息可用的情况下,结果与经典方法一致,但提供了更多关于一致性度量的信息。对于信息性情况,给出了一些准则来引出先验分布。该方法已应用于与精神分裂症诊断和感官分析相关的两个应用中。

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本文引用的文献

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Hierarchical modeling of agreement.层次模型的一致性。
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J Autism Dev Disord. 2014 Feb;44(2):303-9. doi: 10.1007/s10803-012-1486-z.
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What to believe: Bayesian methods for data analysis.相信什么:数据分析的贝叶斯方法。
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Operational definitions of schizophrenia: what do they identify?
J Nerv Ment Dis. 1982 Aug;170(8):443-7. doi: 10.1097/00005053-198208000-00001.

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