School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Hicks Building, Hounsfield Road, Sheffield, S37RH, UK.
IBAHCM, University of Glasgow, Graham Kerr, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, UK.
Ecology. 2019 Jan;100(1):e02452. doi: 10.1002/ecy.2452. Epub 2018 Nov 28.
The two dominant approaches for the analysis of species-habitat associations in animals have been shown to reach divergent conclusions. Models fitted from the viewpoint of an individual (step selection functions), once scaled up, do not agree with models fitted from a population viewpoint (resource selection functions [RSFs]). We explain this fundamental incompatibility, and propose a solution by introducing to the animal movement field a novel use for the well-known family of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. By design, the step selection rules of MCMC lead to a steady-state distribution that coincides with a given underlying function: the target distribution. We therefore propose an analogy between the movements of an animal and the movements of an MCMC sampler, to guarantee convergence of the step selection rules to the parameters underlying the population's utilization distribution. We introduce a rejection-free MCMC algorithm, the local Gibbs sampler, that better resembles real animal movement, and discuss the wide range of biological assumptions that it can accommodate. We illustrate our method with simulations on a known utilization distribution, and show theoretically and empirically that locations simulated from the local Gibbs sampler give rise to the correct RSF. Using simulated data, we demonstrate how this framework can be used to estimate resource selection and movement parameters.
用于分析动物物种-栖息地关系的两种主要方法已被证明得出了不同的结论。从个体角度(逐步选择函数)拟合的模型,一旦扩展到种群角度(资源选择函数[RSF]),就不一致了。我们解释了这种基本的不兼容性,并通过向动物运动领域引入一种新颖的方法来解决这个问题,这种方法对众所周知的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)算法家族进行了新的应用。通过设计,MCMC 的逐步选择规则导致与给定的基础函数(目标分布)一致的稳定状态分布。因此,我们提出了动物运动与 MCMC 采样器运动之间的类比,以确保逐步选择规则收敛于种群利用分布所依据的参数。我们引入了一种无拒绝的 MCMC 算法,即局部 Gibbs 采样器,它更类似于真实的动物运动,并讨论了它可以适应的广泛的生物学假设。我们使用已知的利用分布进行模拟来说明我们的方法,并从理论和经验上证明从局部 Gibbs 采样器模拟的位置产生了正确的 RSF。使用模拟数据,我们演示了如何使用这个框架来估计资源选择和运动参数。