Neuberger J, Forman D, Doll R, Williams R
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1986 May 24;292(6532):1355-7. doi: 10.1136/bmj.292.6532.1355.
A series of 26 white women aged under 50 who developed hepatocellular carcinoma in a non-cirrhotic liver were studied for the possible role of oral contraceptives. Eighteen of the women had used the "pill" for a median of eight years. Over 1300 women whose use of the pill had been determined in another study served as controls. Patients and controls were divided into five age and four calendar groups and the relative risks associated with oral contraceptives calculated by multivariate analysis. Short term use of the pill was not associated with an increased risk of tumour development; nevertheless, use for eight years or more was associated with a 4.4-fold increased risk (p less than 0.01). When patients with markers of hepatitis B virus infection were excluded the relative risk was 7.2 (p less than 0.01). In both instances the absolute risk for developing hepatoma remained low.
对26名年龄在50岁以下、非肝硬化肝脏发生肝细胞癌的白人女性进行了研究,以探讨口服避孕药可能发挥的作用。其中18名女性服用“避孕药”的时间中位数为8年。在另一项研究中确定了服用避孕药情况的1300多名女性作为对照。将患者和对照分为五个年龄组和四个日历组,并通过多变量分析计算与口服避孕药相关的相对风险。短期服用避孕药与肿瘤发生风险增加无关;然而,服用8年或更长时间与风险增加4.4倍相关(p<0.01)。排除乙肝病毒感染标志物阳性的患者后,相对风险为7.2(p<0.01)。在这两种情况下,发生肝癌的绝对风险仍然较低。