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用于时间序列预测的递归广义学习系统

Recurrent Broad Learning Systems for Time Series Prediction.

作者信息

Xu Meiling, Han Min, Chen C L Philip, Qiu Tie

出版信息

IEEE Trans Cybern. 2020 Apr;50(4):1405-1417. doi: 10.1109/TCYB.2018.2863020. Epub 2018 Sep 10.

Abstract

The broad learning system (BLS) is an emerging approach for effective and efficient modeling of complex systems. The inputs are transferred and placed in the feature nodes, and then sent into the enhancement nodes for nonlinear transformation. The structure of a BLS can be extended in a wide sense. Incremental learning algorithms are designed for fast learning in broad expansion. Based on the typical BLSs, a novel recurrent BLS (RBLS) is proposed in this paper. The nodes in the enhancement units of the BLS are recurrently connected, for the purpose of capturing the dynamic characteristics of a time series. A sparse autoencoder is used to extract the features from the input instead of the randomly initialized weights. In this way, the RBLS retains the merit of fast computing and fits for processing sequential data. Motivated by the idea of "fine-tuning" in deep learning, the weights in the RBLS can be updated by conjugate gradient methods if the prediction errors are large. We exhibit the merits of our proposed model on several chaotic time series. Experimental results substantiate the effectiveness of the RBLS. For chaotic benchmark datasets, the RBLS achieves very small errors, and for the real-world dataset, the performance is satisfactory.

摘要

广义学习系统(BLS)是一种用于对复杂系统进行有效且高效建模的新兴方法。输入被传输并放置在特征节点中,然后被送入增强节点进行非线性变换。BLS的结构在广义上可以扩展。增量学习算法被设计用于在广义扩展中进行快速学习。基于典型的BLS,本文提出了一种新颖的递归BLS(RBLS)。BLS增强单元中的节点进行递归连接,目的是捕捉时间序列的动态特征。使用稀疏自动编码器从输入中提取特征,而不是使用随机初始化的权重。通过这种方式,RBLS保留了快速计算的优点,适合处理序列数据。受深度学习中“微调”思想的启发,如果预测误差较大,RBLS中的权重可以通过共轭梯度法进行更新。我们在几个混沌时间序列上展示了我们提出模型的优点。实验结果证实了RBLS的有效性。对于混沌基准数据集,RBLS实现了非常小的误差,对于真实世界数据集,性能令人满意。

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