1 Northern Research Station, Forest Service, US Department of Agriculture, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
2 Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
Public Health Rep. 2018 Nov;133(6):650-657. doi: 10.1177/0033354918798811. Epub 2018 Oct 4.
In 2005, Hurricane Katrina caused damage in New Orleans, Louisiana, and much of the land in low-resource neighborhoods became vacant and blighted. In 2014, New Orleans launched a program, Fight the Blight, which remediated properties in 6 neighborhoods. Our objective was to examine changes in crime rates near lots that were remediated (ie, debris removed and vegetation mowed).
We used a quasi-experimental design to test whether crime rates changed from preremediation (January 2013-October 2014) to postremediation (July 2016-March 2017) near 204 vacant lots that were remediated compared with 560 control vacant lots that were not remediated between October 2014 and July 2016. We also examined differences between remediated lots that received 1 treatment (n = 64) and those that received ≥2 treatments (n = 140).
We found no significant differences between remediated and control lots in levels of violent, property, and domestic crimes from preremediation to postremediation. However, the number of drug crimes per square mile decreased significantly near all remediated lots (5.7% lower; P < .001) compared with control lots, largely driven by the significant decrease (6.4% lower; P < .001) in drug crimes found near lots that received ≥2 treatments.
Investing in programs that improve neighborhood environments affected by high rates of physical disorder and vacancy may be a way to decrease violence. However, routine remediation may be needed to increase the public health impact of blight abatement programs in warmer climates, where weeds and vegetation grow rapidly.
2005 年,卡特里娜飓风袭击了路易斯安那州的新奥尔良市,许多资源匮乏社区的土地变得荒芜和破败。2014 年,新奥尔良市启动了一项名为“消除破败”的计划,对 6 个社区的房产进行修复。我们的目的是研究修复的地段(即清除杂物和修剪植被)附近的犯罪率变化情况。
我们使用准实验设计来检验 204 块已修复的空置地段(与 2014 年 10 月至 2016 年 7 月间未修复的 560 块对照空置地段相比)的犯罪率是否在修复前(2013 年 1 月至 2014 年 10 月)和修复后(2016 年 7 月至 2017 年 3 月)有所变化。我们还研究了接受 1 种处理(n=64)和接受≥2 种处理(n=140)的修复地段之间的差异。
我们发现,从修复前到修复后,修复地段和对照地段的暴力犯罪、财产犯罪和家庭犯罪水平没有显著差异。然而,所有修复地段每平方英里的毒品犯罪数量都显著下降(下降 5.7%;P<.001),而对照地段的毒品犯罪数量则显著下降(下降 6.4%;P<.001),这主要是因为接受≥2 种处理的地段的毒品犯罪数量显著下降(下降 6.4%;P<.001)。
投资于改善受高物质无序和空置率影响的社区环境的项目可能是减少暴力的一种方式。然而,在杂草和植被生长迅速的温暖气候地区,可能需要进行常规修复,以提高消除衰败计划对公共健康的影响。