University of North Carolina Gillings, School of Global Public Health, 135 Dauer Drive, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States.
Addict Behav. 2019 Jul;94:156-161. doi: 10.1016/j.addbeh.2018.09.031. Epub 2018 Sep 26.
Longitudinal studies enable researchers to distinguish within-person (i.e., time-varying) from between-person (i.e., time invariant) effects by using the person mean to model between-person effects and person-mean centering to model within-person effects using multilevel models (MLM). However, with some exceptions, the person mean tends to be based on a relatively small number of observations available for each participant in longitudinal studies. Unreliability inherent in person means generated with few observations results in downwardly biased between-person and cross-level interaction effect estimates. This manuscript considers a simple, easy-to-implement, post-hoc bias adjustment to correct for attenuation of between-person effects caused by unreliability of the person mean. This correction can be applied directly to estimates obtained from MLM. We illustrate this method using data from a panel study predicting adolescent alcohol involvement from perceived parental monitoring, where parental monitoring was disaggregated into within-person (i.e., person-mean-centered) and between-person (i.e., person-mean) components. We then describe results of a small simulation study that evaluated the performance of the post-hoc adjustment under data conditions that mirrored those of the empirical example. Results suggested that, under a condition in which parameter bias is known to be problematic (i.e., moderate ICC, small n, presence of a compositional effect), it is preferable to use the bias-adjusted MLM estimates over the unadjusted MLM estimates for between-person and cross-level interaction effects.
纵向研究通过使用个体均值来建模个体间效应,以及通过个体均值中心化来建模个体内效应,从而使研究人员能够区分个体内(即随时间变化)和个体间(即随时间不变)的效应。然而,除了一些例外,个体均值往往基于每个参与者在纵向研究中可用的相对较少的观察值。在个体均值中固有的少量观察值的不可靠性导致个体间和跨层次交互效应估计值向下偏差。本文考虑了一种简单易行的事后偏差调整方法,以纠正由于个体均值不可靠而导致的个体间效应衰减。这种校正可以直接应用于从多层模型(MLM)获得的估计值。我们使用从预测青少年酒精参与的父母监测感知面板研究中获得的数据来说明这种方法,其中父母监测被分解为个体内(即个体均值中心化)和个体间(即个体均值)成分。然后,我们描述了一个小的模拟研究的结果,该研究评估了在与实证示例数据条件相似的数据条件下,事后调整的性能。结果表明,在参数偏差已知存在问题的条件下(即中度 ICC、小 n、存在组成效应),对于个体间和跨层次交互效应,使用经过偏差调整的 MLM 估计值优于未经调整的 MLM 估计值。