Hornung R W, Meinhardt T J
Health Phys. 1987 Apr;52(4):417-30. doi: 10.1097/00004032-198704000-00002.
The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) has recently updated the vital status of the U.S. cohort of U miners through the end of 1982. This represents 69 additional lung cancer deaths since the last published follow-up through 1977. This more recent data was used to generate quantitative risk estimates of lung cancer after exposure to Rn daughters. Relative risks were estimated through use of the Cox proportional hazards model with an internal referent group. Results indicated that the exposure-response relationship was a slightly convex curve, predicting excess relative risks between 0.9 and 1.4 per 100 working level months (WLM) in the lower cumulative exposure range. Other findings of interest include a significant exposure-rate effect with low exposure rates more harmful per unit of cumulative exposure (WLM). Two temporal effects which modify relative risk estimates were also found. Relative risk increased with age at initial exposure to underground U mining. However, relative risk of lung cancer fell dramatically in the years following cessation of exposure.
美国国家职业安全与健康研究所(NIOSH)最近更新了美国铀矿工人队列截至1982年底的生命状况。自上次公布的截至1977年的随访以来,这意味着又有69例肺癌死亡病例。这些最新数据被用于生成接触氡子体后肺癌的定量风险估计。通过使用Cox比例风险模型和内部参照组来估计相对风险。结果表明,暴露-反应关系是一条略呈凸形的曲线,预测在较低累积暴露范围内每100工作水平月(WLM)的超额相对风险在0.9至1.4之间。其他有趣的发现包括显著的暴露率效应,即低暴露率在每单位累积暴露(WLM)时更具危害性。还发现了两个改变相对风险估计的时间效应。初次接触地下铀矿开采时的相对风险随年龄增加。然而,接触停止后的几年里,肺癌的相对风险急剧下降。