Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland.
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore Maryland.
Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Dec 1;187(12):2493-2497. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwy207.
In commemoration of the centennial of the 1918 influenza pandemic, the American Journal of Epidemiology has convened a collection of 12 articles that further illuminate the epidemiology of that pandemic and consider whether we would be more prepared if an equally deadly influenza virus were to emerge again. In the present commentary, we place these 12 articles in the context of a growing body of work on the archeo-epidemiology of past pandemics, the socioeconomic and geographic drivers of influenza mortality and natality impact, and renewed interest in immune imprinting mechanisms and the development of novel influenza vaccines. We also highlight persisting mysteries in the origins and severity of the 1918 pandemic and the need to preserve rapidly decaying information that may provide treasure troves for future generations.
为纪念 1918 年流感大流行 100 周年,《美国流行病学杂志》组织了一系列 12 篇文章,进一步阐明了那场大流行的流行病学,并探讨了如果同样致命的流感病毒再次出现,我们是否会有更好的准备。在本评论中,我们将这 12 篇文章置于不断增加的关于过去大流行的考古流行病学、流感死亡率和出生率影响的社会经济和地理驱动因素以及对免疫印记机制和新型流感疫苗开发的重新关注的背景下。我们还强调了 1918 年大流行的起源和严重程度方面持续存在的谜团,以及需要保存可能为后代提供宝藏的快速衰减信息。