Terenda N, Petrashyk Y, Slobodian N, Lishtaba L
State Institution of Higher Education "I. Horbachevsky Ternopil State Medical University of the Ministry of Public Health of Ukraine, Department of Social Medicine, Organization and Economics of Health Care, and Medical Statistics; Department of Pathological Physiology, Ukraine.
Georgian Med News. 2018 Sep(282):79-82.
Cardiovascular diseases rank first by prevalence in Ukraine; it is this pathology that largely causes the unfavourable demographics, affecting the duration and quality of life of the population. Our objective was to study the dynamics of prevalence and morbidity for cardiovascular diseases in Ukraine by regions for the years 1996-2014, and to forecast their change by 2025. Epidemiological, demographic, and statistical methods were used in the research. Data of the Centre for Medical Statistics of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine on the level of primary incidence and prevalence of CVD (ICD-10 code - I00-I99) in the population of Ukraine was used as the material for research. This study was conducted to analyse regional dynamics of morbidity and prevalence of cardiovascular diseases in Ukraine during 1996-2014 and to forecast their change by the year 2025. By means of the method of demographic zoning, we evaluated changes in the prevalence and incidence of CVD in Ukraine and in its separate regions for the years 1996-2014. We predicted the tendency of further growth of CVD both in Ukraine on the whole, and in some of its regions. During the past 20 years, Ukraine saw significant increase in CVD prevalence (2.5 times) and morbidity (1.5 times). These figures changed the most in the South region of Ukraine. Projected figures for CVD prevalence and incidence show the trend of growth, especially in the South and Southeast regions.
心血管疾病在乌克兰的患病率排名第一；正是这种病理状况在很大程度上导致了不利的人口统计数据，影响了民众的寿命和生活质量。我们的目标是研究1996年至2014年乌克兰各地区心血管疾病的患病率和发病率动态，并预测到2025年它们的变化情况。研究中使用了流行病学、人口统计学和统计学方法。乌克兰卫生部医学统计中心关于乌克兰人口中心血管疾病（国际疾病分类第十版编码 - I00 - I99）的初发率和患病率水平的数据被用作研究材料。本研究旨在分析1996年至2014年乌克兰心血管疾病发病率和患病率的区域动态，并预测到2025年它们的变化情况。通过人口分区方法，我们评估了1996年至2014年乌克兰及其个别地区心血管疾病患病率和发病率的变化。我们预测了乌克兰整体以及其一些地区心血管疾病进一步增长的趋势。在过去20年中，乌克兰的心血管疾病患病率显著上升（2.5倍），发病率上升（1.5倍）。这些数字在乌克兰南部地区变化最大。心血管疾病患病率和发病率的预测数字显示出增长趋势，特别是在南部和东南部地区。
