George Washington University, United States.
The World Bank, United States.
Accid Anal Prev. 2019 Jan;122:172-180. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2018.09.034. Epub 2018 Oct 28.
Globally, more adolescents die from road traffic fatalities than from any other cause, and males are significantly more vulnerable than females. Driver education interventions directed at males are less likely to succeed than those directed at females, and stronger optimistic bias and overconfidence bias have been implicated as likely reasons. We report results from a quasi-experiment conducted in Serbia, targeting male and female adolescents. Stratified by size, forty schools were randomly assigned to either a personal-narrative intervention or a no-intervention control arm. Data were collected before the intervention (N = 1449) and again six months later (N = 1072). Risk perceptions improved for both males and females, and injunctive norms improved for females. Improvements in overconfidence bias and descriptive norms were predictive of improvements in high-risk driving behaviors. A significant interaction between improvements in injunctive norms and the intervention revealed that males whose injunctive norms improved were significantly more likely to be affected by the intervention, compared to the other groups. Implications for interventions are discussed.
全球范围内,青少年因道路交通伤害而死亡的比例高于其他任何原因,且男性比女性更容易受到伤害。针对男性的驾驶员教育干预措施比针对女性的干预措施更难取得成功,而且可能的原因包括更强的乐观偏见和过度自信偏见。我们报告了在塞尔维亚进行的一项准实验的结果,该实验针对男性和女性青少年。根据规模大小,将四十所学校随机分配到个人叙事干预组或无干预对照组。在干预前(N=1449)和六个月后(N=1072)收集数据。男性和女性的风险认知都有所提高,女性的规范认知也有所提高。过度自信偏见和描述性规范的改善预测了高危驾驶行为的改善。规范认知的改善与干预之间的显著交互作用表明,与其他组相比,规范认知改善的男性受到干预的影响更大。讨论了干预措施的含义。