Duan Chunxiao, Zhang Xuefeng, Jin Hui, Cheng Xiaoqing, Wang Donglei, Bao Cangjun, Zhou Minghao, Ahmad Tauseef, Min Jie
Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing (210009), China.
Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine Engineering, Ministry of Education, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing (210009), China.
Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Nov 19;147:e50. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818003035.
Since the late 1990s, hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) has become a common health problem that mostly affects children and infants in Southeast and East Asia. Global climate change is considered to be one of the major risk factors for HFMD. This study aimed to assess the correlation between meteorological factors and HFMD in the Asia-Pacific region. PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data and Weipu Database were searched to identify relevant articles published before May 2018. Data were collected and analysed using R software. We searched 2397 articles and identified 51 eligible papers in this study. The present study included eight meteorological factors; mean temperature, mean highest temperature, mean lowest temperature, rainfall, relative humidity and hours of sunshine were positively correlated with HFMD, with correlation coefficients (CORs) of 0.52 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.42-0.60), 0.43 (95% CI 0.23-0.59), 0.43 (95% CI 0.23-0.60), 0.27 (95% CI 0.19-0.35), 0.19 (95% CI 0.02-0.35) and 0.19 (95% CI 0.11-0.27), respectively. There were sufficient data to support a negative correlation between mean pressure and HFMD (COR = -0.51, 95% CI -0.63 to -0.36). There was no notable correlation with wind speed (COR = 0.10, 95% CI -0.03 to 0.23). Our findings suggest that meteorological factors affect the incidence of HFMD to a certain extent.
自20世纪90年代末以来,手足口病(HFMD)已成为一个常见的健康问题,主要影响东南亚和东亚的儿童和婴儿。全球气候变化被认为是手足口病的主要风险因素之一。本研究旨在评估亚太地区气象因素与手足口病之间的相关性。检索了PubMed、科学网、Embase、中国知网、万方数据和维普数据库,以识别2018年5月之前发表的相关文章。使用R软件收集和分析数据。本研究共检索了2397篇文章,确定了51篇符合条件的论文。本研究纳入了八个气象因素;平均温度、平均最高温度、平均最低温度、降雨量、相对湿度和日照时长与手足口病呈正相关,相关系数(COR)分别为0.52(95%置信区间(CI)0.42 - 0.60)、0.43(95%CI 0.23 - 0.59)、0.43(95%CI 0.23 - 0.60)、0.27(95%CI 0.19 - 0.35)、0.19(95%CI 0.02 - 0.35)和0.19(95%CI 0.11 - 0.27)。有足够的数据支持平均气压与手足口病呈负相关(COR = -0.51,95%CI -0.63至-0.36)。与风速无显著相关性(COR = 0.10,95%CI -0.03至0.23)。我们的研究结果表明,气象因素在一定程度上影响手足口病的发病率。