Sutou Shizuyo
School of Pharmacy, Shujitsu University, 1-6-1 Nishigawara, Naka-Ku, Okayama-Shi, 703-8516 Japan.
Genes Environ. 2018 Dec 19;40:26. doi: 10.1186/s41021-018-0114-3. eCollection 2018.
The US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) presented the linear no-threshold hypothesis (LNT) in 1956, which indicates that the lowest doses of ionizing radiation are hazardous in proportion to the dose. This spurious hypothesis was not based on solid data. NAS put forward the BEIR VII report in 2006 as evidence supporting LNT. The study described in the report used data of the Life Span Study (LSS) of A-bomb survivors. Estimation of exposure doses was based on initial radiation (5%) and neglected residual radiation (10%), leading to underestimation of the doses. Residual radiation mainly consisted of fallout that poured down onto the ground along with black rain. The black-rain-affected areas were wide. Not only A-bomb survivors but also not-in-the-city control subjects (NIC) must have been exposed to residual radiation to a greater or lesser degree. Use of NIC as negative controls constitutes a major failure in analyses of LSS. Another failure of LSS is its neglect of radiation adaptive responses which include low-dose stimulation of DNA damage repair, removal of aberrant cells via stimulated apoptosis, and elimination of cancer cells via stimulated anticancer immunity. LSS never incorporates consideration of this possibility. When LSS data of longevity are examined, a clear J-shaped dose-response, a hallmark of radiation hormesis, is apparent. Both A-bomb survivors and NIC showed longer than average lifespans. Average solid cancer death ratios of both A-bomb survivors and NIC were lower than the average for Japanese people, which is consistent with the occurrence of radiation adaptive responses (the bases for radiation hormesis), essentially invalidating the LNT model. Nevertheless, LNT has served as the basis of radiation regulation policy. If it were not for LNT, tremendous human, social, and economic losses would not have occurred in the aftermath of the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant accident. For many reasons, LNT must be revised or abolished, with changes based not on policy but on science.
美国国家科学院(NAS)于1956年提出了线性无阈假说(LNT),该假说表明,最低剂量的电离辐射也具有与剂量成正比的危险性。这一虚假假说并非基于可靠数据。NAS在2006年提出了BEIR VII报告,作为支持LNT的证据。该报告中描述的研究使用了原子弹爆炸幸存者寿命研究(LSS)的数据。暴露剂量的估算基于初始辐射(5%),而忽略了残余辐射(10%),导致剂量被低估。残余辐射主要由随黑雨一同降落到地面的沉降物组成。受黑雨影响的区域很广。不仅原子弹爆炸幸存者,而且未在城市的对照对象(NIC)肯定都或多或少受到了残余辐射的影响。将NIC用作阴性对照是LSS分析中的一个重大失误。LSS的另一个失误是它忽略了辐射适应性反应,其中包括低剂量刺激DNA损伤修复、通过刺激凋亡清除异常细胞以及通过刺激抗癌免疫清除癌细胞。LSS从未考虑过这种可能性。当审视LSS的长寿数据时,明显呈现出清晰的J形剂量反应,这是辐射兴奋效应的一个标志。原子弹爆炸幸存者和NIC的寿命都长于平均水平。原子弹爆炸幸存者和NIC的实体癌平均死亡率均低于日本人的平均水平,这与辐射适应性反应(辐射兴奋效应的基础)的发生情况相符,从根本上使LNT模型失效。然而,LNT一直是辐射监管政策的基础。如果没有LNT,福岛第一核电站事故之后就不会造成巨大的人力、社会和经济损失。出于诸多原因,LNT必须修订或废除,变革应基于科学而非政策。