Department of Sociology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48106, USA.
Population Studies Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48106, USA.
Demography. 2019 Feb;56(1):75-102. doi: 10.1007/s13524-018-0751-y.
In this article, we investigate the influences of material aspirations on migration in Nepal, positing that material aspirations may have important influences on decisions to migrate and where to locate. We discuss a theoretical model explaining how these aspirations might be key influences in the migration decision. Using detailed continuous migration histories from the 2008-2012 Chitwan Valley Family Study, we estimate logistic and alternative-specific conditional logit models to examine how material aspirations in Nepal influence migration rates and destinations. Our empirical analyses provide strong evidence that material aspirations have large effects on overall rates of migration and affect destination-specific migration rates, particularly for relatively wealthy Western and Asian destinations. We also show an interaction effect between material aspirations and destination-specific expected earnings in influencing people's migration choices. It is the people with high aspirations who migrate to destinations with high earning potentials.
在本文中，我们研究了物质欲望对尼泊尔移民的影响，提出物质欲望可能对移民决策和去向有重要影响。我们讨论了一个理论模型，解释了这些欲望如何成为移民决策的关键因素。利用 2008-2012 年奇特旺谷家庭研究的详细连续移民史，我们估计了逻辑和替代特定条件逻辑模型，以检验尼泊尔的物质欲望如何影响移民率和目的地。我们的实证分析有力地证明，物质欲望对总体移民率有很大影响，并影响特定目的地的移民率，特别是对相对富裕的西方和亚洲目的地。我们还展示了物质欲望和特定目的地预期收入之间的相互作用效应对人们的移民选择的影响。正是那些有高欲望的人会移民到有高收入潜力的目的地。
