Department of Environmental Health and Engineering, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 N. Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 N. Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.
Curr Environ Health Rep. 2019 Mar;6(1):1-7. doi: 10.1007/s40572-019-0224-5.
Children's environmental health researchers are increasingly interested in identifying time intervals during which individuals are most susceptible to adverse impacts of environmental exposures. We review recent advances in methods for assessing susceptible periods.
We identified three general classes of modeling approaches aimed at identifying susceptible periods in children's environmental health research: multiple informant models, distributed lag models, and Bayesian approaches. Benefits over traditional regression modeling include the ability to formally test period effect differences, to incorporate highly time-resolved exposure data, or to address correlation among exposure periods or exposure mixtures. Several statistical approaches exist for investigating periods of susceptibility. Assessment of susceptible periods would be advanced by additional basic biological research, further development of statistical methods to assess susceptibility to complex exposure mixtures, validation studies evaluating model assumptions, replication studies in different populations, and consideration of susceptible periods from before conception to disease onset.
儿童环境卫生研究人员越来越有兴趣确定个体易受环境暴露不良影响的时间段。我们综述了评估易感期的方法的最新进展。
我们确定了三种用于识别儿童环境健康研究中易感期的一般建模方法:多信息模型、分布滞后模型和贝叶斯方法。与传统回归建模相比,这些方法的优点包括能够正式检验时期效应差异,纳入高度时间分辨的暴露数据,或解决暴露期或暴露混合物之间的相关性。有几种统计方法可用于研究易感期。通过进一步开展基础生物学研究、开发用于评估对复杂暴露混合物的易感性的统计方法、评估模型假设的验证研究、在不同人群中进行复制研究以及考虑从受孕前到发病期间的易感期,将促进易感期的评估。