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尼泊尔气候减缓和适应政策之间的潜在协同作用和权衡评估。

An assessment of potential synergies and trade-offs between climate mitigation and adaptation policies of Nepal.

机构信息

Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Change, School of Environment, Resources and Development, Asian Institute of Technology, Klong Luang, Pathumthani, 12120 Thailand.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2019 Apr 1;235:535-545. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.01.035. Epub 2019 Feb 1.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.01.035
PMID:30716673
Abstract

Climate actions are centered on either mitigation or adaptation or both. Mitigation and adaptation actions can interact with each other resulting in synergies or tradeoffs. An integrated approach that considers these interactions is important to harness the synergies to create win-win situations and to avoid trade-offs for no-regret decisions. In this context, this study presents a qualitative analysis of the existing national level climate policies of Nepal to identify the extent and mechanism of their mitigation-adaptation interactions based on expert survey. Four key sectors having inter-relationships between mitigation and adaptation were identified as Agriculture, Forestry and Land use (AFOLU), urban planning, energy and water. We used Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP) to rank and prioritize the opportunities and barriers for harnessing synergies and avoiding trade-offs of mitigation-adaptation interlinkage with these sectors in view. Our results show that such interactions in the Nepalese policy context are present mostly in the form of synergies in the order of AFOLU > Urban Planning > Energy > Water. We identified that developing an institution dedicated to climate change at the national level is the most important opportunity while inadequate institutional co-ordination is the most important barrier for harnessing these synergies.

摘要

气候行动主要集中在缓解或适应,或两者兼而有之。缓解和适应行动可以相互作用,从而产生协同作用或权衡取舍。考虑到这些相互作用的综合方法对于利用协同作用创造双赢局面和避免权衡取舍以做出无遗憾的决策非常重要。在这种情况下,本研究对尼泊尔现有的国家一级气候政策进行了定性分析,根据专家调查,确定了其缓解-适应相互作用的程度和机制。确定了四个具有缓解和适应相互关系的关键部门,即农业、林业和土地利用(AFOLU)、城市规划、能源和水。我们使用层次分析法(AHP)对这些部门的缓解-适应相互关联的协同作用的利用和权衡取舍的机会和障碍进行了排名和优先排序。我们的结果表明,在尼泊尔政策背景下,这种相互作用主要以协同作用的形式存在,其顺序为 AFOLU > 城市规划 > 能源 > 水。我们发现,在国家一级设立一个专门负责气候变化的机构是最重要的机会,而机构协调不足则是利用这些协同作用的最大障碍。

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