College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2019 May 1;663:731-737. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.366. Epub 2019 Jan 28.
Concurrent precipitation and temperature extremes usually have significant impacts on the society, economy and ecosystem. Changes in precipitation or temperature extremes in China have been extensively studied; however, less attention has been paid to their concurrence (or compound extremes) to date. This study explores the historical variations of compound extremes including dry/warm, dry/cold, wet/warm, and wet/cold combinations based on monthly precipitation and temperature observations during summer and winter from 1961 to 2014 over China. Results show that there is a significant increase in the frequency of compound dry/warm and wet/warm extremes while a decrease in compound dry/cold and wet/cold extremes for the period 1988-2014 relative to 1961-1987. In addition, statistically significant increase in the spatial extent exists in compound dry/warm and wet/warm extremes, while the areas affected by the compound dry/cold and wet/cold extremes present a decrease across China, which is shown to be partly related to the large-scale circulation patterns. The results of this study could improve our understanding of changes of compound precipitation and temperature extremes from a multivariate perspective.
同期降水和极端温度通常会对社会、经济和生态系统产生重大影响。中国的降水或极端温度变化已经得到了广泛的研究;然而,迄今为止,对它们的并发(或复合极端)关注较少。本研究基于 1961 年至 2014 年夏季和冬季的月降水和温度观测,探讨了包括干/暖、干/冷、湿/暖以及湿/冷组合在内的复合极端事件的历史变化。结果表明,与 1961-1987 年相比,1988-2014 年期间,复合干/暖和湿/暖极端事件的频率显著增加,而复合干/冷和湿/冷极端事件的频率则有所减少。此外,复合干/暖和湿/暖极端事件的空间范围显著增加,而受复合干/冷和湿/冷极端事件影响的地区在中国各地呈现减少的趋势,这部分与大尺度环流模式有关。本研究的结果可以从多变量的角度提高我们对复合降水和温度极端事件变化的认识。