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车手观看比赛,然后发生撞车事故:美国电视转播的改装赛车比赛观众规模与速度相关机动车碰撞事故发生率之间的关联。

Driver see, driver crash: Associations between televised stock car races' audience size and the incidence of speed-related motor vehicle collisions in the United States.

作者信息

Roden-Foreman Jacob W, Foreman Michael L, Funk Geoffrey A, Powers Mark B

机构信息

Division of Trauma, Critical Care, and Acute Care Surgery, Baylor University Medical Center at DallasDallasTexas.

出版信息

Proc (Bayl Univ Med Cent). 2019 Jan 7;32(1):37-42. doi: 10.1080/08998280.2018.1512275. eCollection 2019 Jan.

Abstract

Several studies have examined road rage, but few studies have examined other psychosocial factors that may contribute to the number of motor vehicle collisions (MVCs). One study found increases in MVCs in West Virginia following televised NASCAR races but did not account for audience size. This study examined associations between NASCAR's television viewership ratings and the incidence of speed-related MVCs in the USA using generalized estimating equations that controlled for seasonal effects, intoxication, road surface conditions, and lighting conditions. A 1% increase in the number of US households watching NASCAR races per month was associated with a 6.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.0% to 9.7%;  < 0.001) increase in the incidence of speed-related MVCs-approximately 4911 (95% CI, 2353 to 7470) speed-related MVCs per month or one speed-related MVC per 595 (95% CI, 382 to 1354) viewers. As expected, similar results were not found for the total number of MVCs. These data suggest that televised NASCAR races may be associated with substantial increases in the incidence of speed-related MVCs. Making drivers aware of psychological factors that may increase risky driving behaviors could prove beneficial because self-monitoring can result in safer driving.

摘要

多项研究探讨了路怒症,但很少有研究考察可能导致机动车碰撞事故(MVC)数量增加的其他社会心理因素。一项研究发现,西弗吉尼亚州在转播全国运动汽车竞赛协会(NASCAR)赛事后,机动车碰撞事故有所增加,但未考虑观众规模。本研究使用广义估计方程,控制季节效应、醉酒情况、路面状况和照明条件,考察了NASCAR电视收视率与美国速度相关机动车碰撞事故发生率之间的关联。美国每月观看NASCAR赛事的家庭数量每增加1%,与速度相关的机动车碰撞事故发生率就增加6.3%(95%置信区间[CI],3.0%至9.7%;P<0.001)——每月约增加4911起(95%CI,2353至7470起)与速度相关的机动车碰撞事故,即每595名(95%CI,382至1354名)观众中有一起与速度相关的机动车碰撞事故。正如预期的那样,对于机动车碰撞事故总数未发现类似结果。这些数据表明,转播NASCAR赛事可能与速度相关的机动车碰撞事故发生率大幅增加有关。让驾驶员意识到可能增加危险驾驶行为的心理因素可能是有益的,因为自我监督可以带来更安全的驾驶。

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本文引用的文献

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