State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, 10084 Beijing, People's Republic of China;
State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, Tsinghua University, 10084 Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Apr 23;116(17):8206-8213. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812239116. Epub 2019 Apr 8.
Realizing the goal of the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 2 °C by the end of this century will most likely require deployment of carbon-negative technologies. It is particularly important that China, as the world's top carbon emitter, avoids being locked into carbon-intensive, coal-fired power-generation technologies and undertakes a smooth transition from high- to negative-carbon electricity production. We focus here on deploying a combination of coal and biomass energy to produce electricity in China using an integrated gasification cycle system combined with carbon capture and storage (CBECCS). Such a system will also reduce air pollutant emissions, thus contributing to China's near-term goal of improving air quality. We evaluate the bus-bar electricity-generation prices for CBECCS with mixing ratios of crop residues varying from 0 to 100%, as well as associated costs for carbon mitigation and cobenefits for air quality. We find that CBECCS systems employing a crop residue ratio of 35% could produce electricity with net-zero life-cycle emissions of greenhouse gases, with a levelized cost of electricity of no more than 9.2 US cents per kilowatt hour. A carbon price of approximately $52.0 per ton would make CBECCS cost-competitive with pulverized coal power plants. Therefore, our results provide critical insights for designing a CBECCS strategy in China to harness near-term air-quality cobenefits while laying the foundation for achieving negative carbon emissions in the long run.
实现本世纪末将全球升温控制在 2°C 以内的《巴黎协定》目标很可能需要部署碳负技术。作为世界最大的碳排放国,中国避免陷入高碳、燃煤发电技术,并实现从高碳到负碳电力生产的平稳过渡尤为重要。我们在这里重点关注利用集成煤气化循环系统结合碳捕获和封存(CCS)在中国部署煤和生物质能组合来发电。该系统还将减少空气污染物排放,从而有助于中国实现近期改善空气质量的目标。我们评估了混合比例为 0%至 100%的农作物残余物的 CCS 的母线发电价格,以及碳减排的相关成本和空气质量的共同效益。我们发现,采用 35%农作物残余物比例的 CCS 系统可以产生净零生命周期温室气体排放的电力,其每千瓦时的平准化成本不超过 9.2 美分。每吨约 52.0 美元的碳价将使 CCS 与煤粉发电厂具有成本竞争力。因此,我们的研究结果为中国设计 CCS 战略提供了重要的见解,以便在利用短期空气质量共同效益的同时为长期实现负碳排放奠定基础。