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预期的(外)祖父母育儿支持与生育决策

Anticipated (Grand-)Parental Childcare Support and the Decision to Become a Parent.

作者信息

Pink Sebastian

机构信息

University of Mannheim, A5, 6, 68159 Mannheim, Germany.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2017 Nov 27;34(5):691-720. doi: 10.1007/s10680-017-9447-z. eCollection 2018 Dec.

Abstract

Based on a cost-reduction argument, this study explored whether anticipated childcare support from their mothers influenced adult daughters' decisions to have their first child. Using six waves of the German Family Panel (pairfam), discrete-time hazard models ( = 3155 women) were estimated for the transition to the decision to have the first child. Anticipated childcare support from the women's mothers was approximated by the travelling distance between adult daughters and their mothers, a measure whose suitability was tested empirically. The results indicated that women in a position to anticipate having access to childcare support in the future decided to make the transition to parenthood earlier. This finding highlights both the strength of social interaction effects on fertility decision-making and the importance of intergenerational relationships for individual fertility histories already at their very beginning.

摘要

基于成本降低的观点,本研究探讨了成年女儿预期从母亲那里获得的育儿支持是否会影响她们生育第一个孩子的决定。利用德国家庭面板(pairfam)的六轮数据,对3155名女性进行离散时间风险模型估计,以分析向生育第一个孩子的决定转变的情况。成年女儿与母亲之间的旅行距离被用来近似衡量女儿预期从母亲那里获得的育儿支持,该指标的适用性经过了实证检验。结果表明,那些预期未来能够获得育儿支持的女性决定更早地步入为人父母的阶段。这一发现既凸显了社会互动效应在生育决策中的影响力,也强调了代际关系从一开始对个人生育历程的重要性。

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