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雾霾污染的健康成本是多少?来自中国的证据。

What is the health cost of haze pollution? Evidence from China.

机构信息

School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.

Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Int J Health Plann Manage. 2019 Oct;34(4):1290-1303. doi: 10.1002/hpm.2791. Epub 2019 Apr 26.

DOI:10.1002/hpm.2791
PMID:31025396
Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Haze pollution has become a serious threat to the health of residents and has brought about considerable economic costs. The objectives of this study are to examine the relationship between haze pollution and residents' health and to estimate the health cost of haze pollution.

METHODS

Using macro data on 74 major Chinese cities, this study employs a static panel data model and a dynamic panel generalized method of moments model to investigate the impact of haze pollution on the mortality of residents. On the basis of the estimation results, the value of a statistical life (VOSL) method is used to evaluate the economic cost of haze pollution on residents' health.

RESULTS

In 74 major cities of China, an increase in concentration of PM pollutants by 1 μg/m may cause the mortality rate to rise by 25 per million people. The VOSL of haze pollution in China is about 1.53 million yuan. The health cost of residents from haze in 74 major cities of China in 2016 was about 888 billion yuan, equivalent to about 2% of the these cities' GDP.

CONCLUSIONS

Haze pollution has serious damage to the health of urban residents and therefore brings about considerable economic losses.

摘要

简介

雾霾污染已严重威胁居民健康,并带来了相当大的经济成本。本研究旨在探讨雾霾污染与居民健康之间的关系,并估算雾霾污染造成的健康成本。

方法

利用中国 74 个主要城市的宏观数据,本研究采用静态面板数据模型和动态面板广义矩估计模型,考察了雾霾污染对居民死亡率的影响。基于估计结果,采用生命价值统计法(VOSL)评估雾霾污染对居民健康的经济成本。

结果

在中国 74 个主要城市中,PM 污染物浓度每增加 1μg/m³,可能导致死亡率上升 25/百万人。中国雾霾污染的 VOSL 约为 153 万元。2016 年中国 74 个主要城市因雾霾导致的居民健康成本约为 8880 亿元,相当于这些城市 GDP 的 2%左右。

结论

雾霾污染对城市居民的健康造成了严重损害,因此带来了相当大的经济损失。

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