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摩托车主动安全系统:基于人群的事故数据集的功能和适用性评估。

Motorcycle active safety systems: Assessment of the function and applicability using a population-based crash data set.

机构信息

a Department of Industrial Engineering , University of Florence , Florence , Italy.

b Monash University Accident Research Centre, Monash University Clayton Campus , Melbourne , Victoria , Australia.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2019;20(4):406-412. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2019.1594795. Epub 2019 May 6.

Abstract

Motorcycles and mopeds, often referred to as powered 2-wheelers (PTWs), play an important role in personal mobility worldwide. Despite their advantages, including low cost, space occupancy, and fuel efficiency, the risk of sustaining serious or fatal injuries is higher than that for occupants of passenger cars. The development of safety systems specific for PTWs represents a potential way to reduce casualties among riders. With the proliferation of new active and passive safety technologies, the question as to which might offer the most value is important. In this context, a prioritization process was applied to a set of PTW active safety systems to evaluate their applicability to crash scenarios alone and in combination. The systems included in the study were antilock braking (ABS), autonomous emergency braking (AEB), collision warning, curve warning, and curve assist. With the functional performance of the 5 safety systems established, the relevance of each system to specific crash configurations and vehicle movements defined by a standardized accident classification system used in Victoria, Australia, was rated by 2 independent reviewers, with a third reviewer acting as a moderator where disagreements occurred. Ratings ranged from 1 () to 4 (). Using population-based crash data, the number and percentage of crashes that each safety system could potentially influence, or be relevant for, was defined. Applying accepted injury costs permitted the derivation of the societal economic cost of PTW crashes and the potential reductions associated with each safety system given a theoretical crash avoidance effectiveness of 100%. In the 12-year period 2000-2011, 23,955 PTW riders and 1292 pillion passengers were reported to have been involved in a road crash, with over 500 killed and more than 10,000 seriously injured; only 3.5% of riders/pillion passengers were uninjured. The total economic cost associated with these injured riders and pillion passengers was estimated to be AU$11.1 billion (US$7.70 billion; €6.67 billion). The 5 safety systems, as single solutions or in combination, were relevant to 57% of all crashes and to 74% of riders killed. Antilock braking was found to be relevant to the highest number of crashes, with incremental increases in coverage when combined with other safety systems. The findings demonstrate that ABS, alone and in combination with other safety systems, has the potential to mitigate or possibly prevent a high percentage of PTW crashes in the considered setting. Other safety systems can influence different crash scenarios and are also recommended. Given the high cost of motorcycle crashes and the increasing number of PTW safety technologies, the proposed approach can be used to inform the process of selection of the most suitable interventions to improve PTW safety.

摘要

摩托车和轻便摩托车,通常被称为两轮机动车 (PTWs),在全球个人交通中发挥着重要作用。尽管它们具有低成本、空间占用少和燃油效率高等优点,但遭受严重或致命伤害的风险高于乘用车乘客。开发特定于 PTW 的安全系统是降低骑手伤亡的潜在途径。随着新型主动和被动安全技术的普及,哪种技术最有价值的问题变得很重要。在这种情况下,对一组 PTW 主动安全系统进行了优先级排序过程,以评估它们单独和组合应用于碰撞场景的适用性。研究中包括的系统有防抱死制动系统 (ABS)、自动紧急制动 (AEB)、碰撞警告、弯道警告和弯道辅助。在确定了 5 个安全系统的功能性能后,由 2 名独立审查员根据澳大利亚维多利亚州使用的标准化事故分类系统对每个系统与特定碰撞配置和车辆运动的相关性进行了评级,第三名审查员在出现分歧时充当主持人。评级范围从 1(无相关性)到 4(高度相关)。使用基于人群的碰撞数据,确定了每个安全系统可能影响或与之相关的碰撞数量和百分比。考虑到 100%的理论碰撞避免有效性,应用公认的伤害成本允许得出与每个安全系统相关的两轮机动车碰撞的社会经济成本和潜在降低。在 2000 年至 2011 年的 12 年期间,报告有 23955 名两轮机动车骑手和 1292 名后座乘客卷入道路碰撞事故,超过 500 人死亡,超过 10000 人重伤;只有 3.5%的骑手/后座乘客未受伤。与这些受伤的骑手和后座乘客相关的总经济成本估计为 111 亿澳元(77 亿美元;66.7 亿欧元)。这 5 个安全系统,无论是单独使用还是组合使用,都与 57%的碰撞事故和 74%的死亡骑手相关。防抱死制动系统与最高数量的碰撞事故相关,与其他安全系统结合使用时,覆盖率会逐步增加。研究结果表明,在考虑的环境中,ABS 单独使用或与其他安全系统结合使用,有可能减轻或可能防止很大比例的两轮机动车碰撞事故。其他安全系统可以影响不同的碰撞场景,也建议使用。鉴于摩托车碰撞的高成本和越来越多的两轮机动车安全技术,建议采用这种方法来告知选择最合适干预措施以提高两轮机动车安全性的过程。

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