Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Williams College, Williamstown, MA, 01267, USA; Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Computer Science, Macalester College, Saint Paul, MN, 55105, USA.
Environmental Health Sciences Division, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, 94720, USA; Center for Environmental Research and Children's Health, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, 94720, USA.
Environ Res. 2019 Aug;175:22-33. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2019.04.036. Epub 2019 May 7.
Phthalates, compounds commonly used in plastics and personal care products, have been associated with childhood obesity in cross-sectional and some longitudinal studies. Using advanced statistical methods, we characterized the heterogeneity in body mass development patterns over childhood (ages 2-14 years) and explored associations with maternal prenatal urinary concentrations of phthalates among 335 children in the Center for the Health Assessment of Mothers and Children of Salinas (CHAMACOS) cohort study. Height and weight were measured every one to two years in this cohort, which had a high prevalence of obesity and overweight. Building upon a previous analysis that showed a positive association between prenatal phthalate exposure and body mass index (BMI) in CHAMACOS children, we used three advanced statistical methods: generalized additive models, growth mixture models, and functional principal component analysis with tree-based methods to identify patterns of childhood BMI development and allow for non-linear relationships with the environmental exposures. Our results highlight the heterogeneity in childhood BMI development patterns and suggest a sex-specific non-linear association between prenatal monoethyl phthalate urinary concentrations and BMI level in children, confirmed across a variety of statistical methods. There is also evidence to suggest positive associations between DEHP metabolites and BMI stabilization during puberty for girls.
邻苯二甲酸酯是一种常用于塑料和个人护理产品的化合物,已有横断面和一些纵向研究将其与儿童肥胖联系起来。本研究使用先进的统计方法,对 335 名萨利纳斯母婴健康评估中心(CHAMACOS)队列研究中的儿童在儿童期(2-14 岁)的体重发展模式的异质性进行了描述,并探讨了其与母体产前尿液中邻苯二甲酸酯浓度的相关性。该队列每 1-2 年测量一次身高和体重,其中肥胖和超重的比例很高。在之前的一项研究表明,CHAMACOS 儿童的产前邻苯二甲酸酯暴露与体重指数(BMI)呈正相关的基础上,我们使用了三种先进的统计方法:广义加性模型、增长混合模型和基于树的方法的功能主成分分析,以确定儿童 BMI 发展模式,并允许与环境暴露的非线性关系。我们的研究结果突出了儿童 BMI 发展模式的异质性,并表明了产前单乙基邻苯二甲酸酯尿浓度与儿童 BMI 水平之间存在性别特异性的非线性关系,这一结果在各种统计方法中得到了证实。此外,还有证据表明 DEHP 代谢物与女孩青春期 BMI 稳定之间存在正相关关系。