Joughin Ian, Smith Benjamin E, Schoof Christian G
Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Lab University of Washington Seattle WA USA.
Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences University of British Columbia Vancouver British Columbia Canada.
Geophys Res Lett. 2019 May 16;46(9):4764-4771. doi: 10.1029/2019GL082526. Epub 2019 May 13.
The choice of the best basal friction law to use in ice-sheet models remains a source of uncertainty in projections of sea level. The parameters in commonly used friction laws can produce a broad range of behavior and are poorly constrained. Here we use a time series of elevation and speed data to examine the simulated transient response of Pine Island Glacier, Antarctica, to a loss of basal traction as its grounding line retreats. We evaluate a variety of friction laws, which produces a diversity of responses, to determine which best reproduces the observed speedup when forced with the observed thinning. Forms of the commonly used power law friction provide much larger model-data disagreement than less commonly used regularized Coulomb friction in which cavitation effects yield an upper bound on basal friction. Thus, adoption of such friction laws could substantially improve the fidelity of large-scale simulations to determine future sea level.
在冰盖模型中选择最佳的基底摩擦定律仍然是海平面预测不确定性的一个来源。常用摩擦定律中的参数会产生广泛的行为,且约束不足。在这里,我们使用海拔和速度数据的时间序列来研究南极松岛冰川在其接地线后退时基底牵引力丧失的模拟瞬态响应。我们评估了各种摩擦定律,这些定律产生了不同的响应,以确定在受到观测到的变薄强迫时,哪种定律能最好地再现观测到的加速情况。与不太常用的正则化库仑摩擦相比,常用幂律摩擦形式产生的模型-数据差异要大得多,在正则化库仑摩擦中,空化效应产生了基底摩擦的上限。因此,采用这种摩擦定律可以大幅提高大规模模拟的保真度,以确定未来海平面。