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让利益相关者参与评估国家生物多样性战略在减少洪水风险方面的有效性:一个用于效益和协同效益评估的参与式系统动力学模型。

Engaging stakeholders in the assessment of NBS effectiveness in flood risk reduction: A participatory System Dynamics Model for benefits and co-benefits evaluation.

作者信息

Pagano Alessandro, Pluchinotta Irene, Pengal Polona, Cokan Blaž, Giordano Raffaele

机构信息

Water Research Institute - National Research Council (IRSA-CNR), via F. de Blasio 5, 70132 Bari, Italy.

King's College London, Business School, London, UK.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2019 Nov 10;690:543-555. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.07.059. Epub 2019 Jul 5.

Abstract

There is an imperative worldwide need to identify effective approaches to deal with water-related risks, and mainly with increasingly frequent floods, as well as with severe droughts. Particularly, policy and decision-makers are trying to identify systemic strategies that, going beyond the mere risk reduction, should be capable to deal simultaneously with multiple challenges (such as climate resilience, health and well-being, quality of life), thus providing additional benefits. In this direction, the contribution of Nature Based Solutions (NBS) is relevant, although their wider implementation is still hampered by several barriers, such as the uncertainty and lack of information on their long-term behavior and the difficulty of quantitatively valuing their multidimensional impacts. The activities described in the present paper, carried out within the EU funded project NAIAD, mainly aim at developing a participatory System Dynamic Model capable to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of NBS to deal with flood risks, while producing a multiplicity of co-benefits. The adoption of a participatory approach supported both to increase the available knowledge and the awareness about the potential of NBS and hybrid measures (e.g. a combination of NBS and socio-institutional ones). Specific reference is made to one of the demos of the NAIAD project, namely the Glinščica river case study (Slovenia).

摘要

全球迫切需要确定应对与水相关风险的有效方法,主要是应对日益频繁的洪水以及严重干旱。特别是,政策制定者和决策者正在努力确定系统性战略,这些战略不仅要超越单纯的降低风险,还应能够同时应对多重挑战(如气候适应能力、健康与福祉、生活质量),从而带来额外益处。在这个方向上,基于自然的解决方案(NBS)的贡献是相关的,尽管其更广泛的实施仍受到若干障碍的阻碍,例如其长期行为的不确定性和信息缺乏,以及难以定量评估其多维度影响。本文所述活动是在欧盟资助的NAIAD项目内开展的,主要旨在开发一个参与式系统动力学模型,该模型能够定量评估基于自然的解决方案应对洪水风险的有效性,同时产生多种协同效益。采用参与式方法有助于增加可用知识,并提高对基于自然的解决方案和混合措施(如基于自然的解决方案与社会制度措施的结合)潜力的认识。特别提及了NAIAD项目的一个示范案例,即格利恩希察河案例研究(斯洛文尼亚)。

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