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评估基于自然的海岸防御。

Assessing nature-based coastal defense.

作者信息

Duvat Virginie K E, Hatton Inès, Burban Louise, Jacobée Alice, Vendé-Leclerc Myriam, Stahl Lucile

机构信息

UMRi LIENSs 7266, La Rochelle Université-CNRS, 2 rue Olympe de Gouges, 17000, La Rochelle, France.

Cawthron Institute, 98 Halifax Street, Nelson, 7010, New Zealand.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 14;15(1):16798. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-96744-7.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-96744-7
PMID:40369149
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12078504/
Abstract

Nature-based Coastal Defense is increasingly used to reduce climate risk, because considered effective, inexpensive and cost-effective, easy to implement, and no-regrets. This article discusses this positive framing through the analysis of 23 projects implemented in French overseas territories, using an ex-post expert judgment method considering enabling conditions (context, governance, funding, social acceptability), risk reduction (technical effectiveness; studies, monitoring and evaluation) and externalities (co-benefits and disbenefits; contribution to adaptation). 80% of projects aimed at reducing coastal erosion; 47.8% were implemented in natural or rural areas; 87.1% included restoration; 82.6% targeted one single ecosystem and 51.7% beach/dune systems; 47.8% were led by public actors; all relied on multiple funding sources. Performance indices range from 39.4 to 77.2%. The highest scores concern governance and social acceptability, and the lowest scores risk reduction. No project included an evaluation of risk reduction and was calibrated for future risk. Internal (i.e. project related) and external (more general) levers and barriers to effectiveness were identified. Internal barriers include the lack of political support to nature-based options, the difficulty to secure the required long-term funding and to upscale action in the face of strong land tenure constraints.

摘要

基于自然的海岸防御越来越多地被用于降低气候风险,因为它被认为是有效、廉价且具有成本效益的,易于实施且无悔可行。本文通过对在法属海外领土实施的23个项目进行分析,探讨了这种积极的框架,采用事后专家判断方法,考虑促成条件(背景、治理、资金、社会可接受性)、风险降低(技术有效性;研究、监测和评估)以及外部性(共同效益和负效益;对适应的贡献)。80%的项目旨在减少海岸侵蚀;47.8%在自然或农村地区实施;87.1%包括生态修复;82.6%针对单一生态系统,51.7%针对海滩/沙丘系统;47.8%由公共行为体牵头;所有项目都依赖多种资金来源。绩效指数范围从39.4%到77.2%。得分最高的是治理和社会可接受性,得分最低的是风险降低。没有项目对风险降低进行评估,也没有针对未来风险进行校准。确定了内部(即与项目相关的)和外部(更普遍的)有效性杠杆及障碍。内部障碍包括对基于自然的方案缺乏政治支持、在面对强大的土地保有制限制时难以确保所需的长期资金以及扩大行动规模。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a478/12078504/41383852fddb/41598_2025_96744_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a478/12078504/d7314dee54ec/41598_2025_96744_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a478/12078504/41383852fddb/41598_2025_96744_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a478/12078504/d7314dee54ec/41598_2025_96744_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a478/12078504/41383852fddb/41598_2025_96744_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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