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探究驱动因素对醉酒驾驶人群交通事故风险的影响:以吴江为例的研究

Exploring the Effect of Driving Factors on Traffic Crash Risk among Intoxicated Drivers: A case Study in Wujiang.

机构信息

Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University, Nanjing, 211189, China.

Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, Southeast University, Nanjing, 211189, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Jul 16;16(14):2540. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16142540.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph16142540
PMID:31315282
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6678633/
Abstract

Intoxicated driving is a threat to both drivers and other road users. Exploring the association between intoxicated driving factors and traffic crashes is essential for taking effective countermeasures. Most previous works have studied the relation between intoxicated driving and traffic crash based on some large-sized cities. The current study aims to evaluate the effect of driving factors on traffic crashes among intoxicated drivers in a small-sized city in China. Descriptive statistics and binary logistic regression analysis are performed to guide the study, and the data (N=1010) for the period 2016-2017 in Wujiang (i.e., a small-sized city in China) are employed as the target samples. The results demonstrate age, years of driving experience, road position, week, hour and blood alcohol concentration (BAC) are associated with traffic crashes in Wujiang. Specifically, the age of "18-25", the years of driving experience of "≤2", the "road intersection", the "weekend", the period of "0:00-6:59" and the BAC of "above 150 mg/100 mL" are more likely to cause traffic crashes among intoxicated drivers. The findings can be referred to make some targeted policies or measures to relieve Wujiang's intoxicated driving situation and reduce the number of crashes caused by intoxicated driving.

摘要

醉酒驾车对驾驶员和其他道路使用者都是一种威胁。探索醉酒驾车因素与交通事故之间的关系,对于采取有效对策至关重要。大多数先前的研究都是基于一些大城市,研究醉酒驾车与交通事故之间的关系。本研究旨在评估驾驶因素对中国一个小城市醉酒驾车者交通事故的影响。本研究采用描述性统计和二元逻辑回归分析,以指导研究,研究对象为 2016 年至 2017 年期间在中国吴江市(即中国的一个小城市)的 1010 名驾驶员的数据。研究结果表明,年龄、驾龄、道路位置、周、小时和血液酒精浓度(BAC)与吴江市的交通事故有关。具体来说,“18-25 岁”、“驾龄≤2 年”、“道路交叉口”、“周末”、“0:00-6:59”和“BAC 高于 150mg/100ml”的年龄更有可能导致醉酒驾车者发生交通事故。研究结果可以为制定一些有针对性的政策或措施提供参考,以缓解吴江市的醉酒驾车状况,减少醉酒驾车引发的交通事故数量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8fe0/6678633/fa1228deb0d7/ijerph-16-02540-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8fe0/6678633/7ed432b10730/ijerph-16-02540-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8fe0/6678633/fa1228deb0d7/ijerph-16-02540-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8fe0/6678633/7ed432b10730/ijerph-16-02540-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8fe0/6678633/fa1228deb0d7/ijerph-16-02540-g002.jpg

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